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Statehouse Democracy: Public Opinion and Policy in the American States
Preface 1. Democratic states 2. Measuring state partisanship and ideology 3. Accounting for state differences in opinion 4. Public opinion and policy in the American states 5. State parties and state
Peasants or Bankers? The American Electorate and the U.S. Economy.
T | 'he usual model of electoral reaction to economic conditions assumes the "retrospective" economic voter who bases expectations solely on recent economic performance or personal economic
The Macro Polity
List of figures and tables Preface Acknowledgements 1. A model of the macro polity Part I. Performance: 2. Presidential approval 3. Presidential approval, the economy, and the future 4. Macro
The Advantage of Incumbency in Congressional Elections
The purpose of this study is to measure the effect of incumbency on the vote division in elections for the United States House of Representatives. It is commonly assumed that being an incumbent
Measuring State Partisanship and Ideology with Survey Data
The study of state politics has suffered because of the lack of good data on major political orientations at the state level. This paper briefly discusses this problem and the need for survey-based
Campaign Spending and Incumbency: An Alternative Simultaneous Equations Approach
This paper estimates the effects of incumbent spending and challenger spending in U.S. House elections in the 1970s and 1980s. The paper employs FIML simultaneous equations analysis involving
Economic Conditions and the Presidential Vote
This analysis demonstrates that the relative growth of per capita income change is an important determinant of post-World War II presidential election outcomes. Per capita income change is even a
American Public Opinion: Its Origins, Content, and Impact.
List of Figures and Tables Preface Credits for Figures and Tables CHAPTER 1 Public Opinion in Democratic Societies 1-1 Public Opinion and Government 1-2 Public Opinion Defined 1-3 The Evolution of
Political Parties, Public Opinion, and State Policy in the United States
When comparing states in the United States, one finds little correlation between state opinion and party control of the state legislature or between party control and state policy. Although these low
Equilibria in Campaign Spending Games: Theory and Data
We present a formal game-theoretic model to explain the simultaneity problem that makes it difficult to obtain unbiased estimates of the effects of both incumbent and challenger spending in U.S.