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  • Influence
The robust beauty of improper linear models in decision making.
Proper linear models are those in which predictor variables are given weights in such a way that the resulting linear composite optimally predicts some criterion of interest; examples of properExpand
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Rational choice in an uncertain world
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What you don't know won't hurt me: Costly (but quiet) exit in dictator games
We used simple economic games to examine pro-social behavior and the lengths that people will take in order to avoid engaging in it. Over two studies, we found that about one third of participantsExpand
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Clinical versus actuarial judgment.
Professionals are frequently consulted to diagnose and predict human behavior; optimal treatment and planning often hinge on the consultant's judgmental accuracy. The consultant may rely on one ofExpand
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Psychological Science Can Improve Diagnostic Decisions
John A. Swets, Robyn M. Dawes, and John Monahan BBN Technologies (emeritus), Cambridge, Massachusetts; Radiology Department, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, and Department of Health Care Policy,Expand
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Behavior, communication, and assumptions about other people's behavior in a commons dilemma situation.
Abstract : Two experiments investigated effects of communication on behavior in an 8-person commons dilemma of group versus individual gain. Subjects made a single choice involving a substantialExpand
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House of Cards: Psychology and Psychotherapy Built on Myth
  • R. Dawes
  • Sociology, Psychology
  • 14 March 1994
In this book, Robyn Dawes critically examines some of the most cherished clinical assumptions and therapeutic methods now in use. He points out that we have all come under the sway of a "pop psych"Expand
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Linear models in decision making.
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Statistical criteria for establishing a truly false consensus effect
Abstract The false consensus effect is defined as an egoistic bias to overestimate the degree to which others are like us. The criterion for establishing its existence is a positive correlationExpand
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Swift Neighbors and Persistent Strangers: A Cross‐Cultural Investigation of Trust and Reciprocity in Social Exchange1
In four countries, levels of trust and reciprocity in direct‐reciprocal exchange are compared with those in network‐generalized exchanges among experimentally manipulated groups' members (neighbors)Expand
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