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Predicting the speed of tick invasion: an empirical model of range expansion for the Lyme disease vector Ixodes scapularis in Canada
TLDR
It is shown that I. scapularis is rapidly expanding its range and is likely to colonize the most densely populated areas of southern Canada in the coming decade, and prompt action is necessary to prepare the Canadian public for a likely epidemic of Lyme disease. Expand
Estimated Effects of Projected Climate Change on the Basic Reproductive Number of the Lyme Disease Vector Ixodes scapularis
TLDR
Climate warming may have co-driven the emergence of Lyme disease in northeastern North America, and in the future may drive substantial disease spread into new geographic regions and increase tick-borne disease risk where climate is currently suitable. Expand
Predicting the rate of invasion of the agent of Lyme disease Borrelia burgdorferi
TLDR
The speed at which the pathogen Borrelia burgdorferi invades following the invasion of the tick Ixodes scapularis is identified, and that the synchrony of larval and nymphal tick activity in spring is a key factor determining the gap between tick and pathogen invasion. Expand
Predicting species interactions from edge responses: mongoose predation on hawksbill sea turtle nests in fragmented beach habitat
TLDR
This is the first study to predict patterns of predation directly from continuous edge response functions of interacting species, establishing a link between models of edge response and species interactions. Expand
Climate change and habitat fragmentation drive the occurrence of Borrelia burgdorferi, the agent of Lyme disease, at the northeastern limit of its distribution
TLDR
This work combined climatic and landscape variables to model the current and future potential distribution of the black‐legged tick and the white‐footed mouse at the northeastern range limit of Lyme disease and estimated a risk index for B. burgdorferi from these distributions. Expand
Geography, Deer, and Host Biodiversity Shape the Pattern of Lyme Disease Emergence in the Thousand Islands Archipelago of Ontario, Canada
TLDR
This study is one of the first to consider the interaction between the relative abundance of small mammal hosts and species richness in the analysis of the effects of biodiversity on disease risk, providing validation for theoretical models showing both dilution and amplification effects. Expand
Does high biodiversity reduce the risk of Lyme disease invasion?
TLDR
The evidence for a negative effect of host biodiversity on I. scapularis invasion was mixed, and some evidence suggests that community biodiversity beyond just host diversity may have direct or indirect inhibitory effects on parasite invasion that warrant further study. Expand
How depth alters detection and capture of buried prey: exploitation of sea turtle eggs by mongooses
TLDR
For reptiles with buried nests, the relationship between depth and predation risk leads to important predictions about how changes to nesting habitat or the predator community will affect egg survival and offspring sex ratio. Expand
Predicting nest survival in sea turtles: when and where are eggs most vulnerable to predation?
TLDR
This study provides the first quantification of the daily variation in predation risk for incubating turtle eggs, revealing a narrow time window early in development during which the application of predation reduction measures is likely to have the greatest impact on nest survival. Expand
Somatic growth rates for a hawksbill turtle population in coral reef habitat around Barbados
TLDR
The lower growth rates recorded for smaller turtles may reflect a period when sea turtles newly recruiting from pelagic to neritic habitats are adapting to a change in diet, and the decline in growth rates with sampling year over the 10 yr study may reflect density-dependent effects on growth. Expand
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