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- Publications
- Influence
Evaluating adjusted forcing and model spread for historical and future scenarios in the CMIP5 generation of climate models
- P. Forster, T. Andrews, +4 authors M. Zelinka
- Environmental Science
- 16 February 2013
We utilize energy budget diagnostics from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) to evaluate the models' climate forcing since preindustrial times employing an established… Expand
Potential impact of climate change on fire risk in the Mediterranean area
- M. Moriondo, P. Good, Rita Durão, M. Bindi, C. Giannakopoulos, João Corte-Real
- Geography
- 26 June 2006
In this study, output of the Hadley Centre Regional Circulation Model (RCM) (HadRM3P, 0.44° × 0.44° resolution) was used as input to the Canadian Forest Fire Weather Index (FWI) for the present and 2… Expand
Simulated resilience of tropical rainforests to CO2-induced climate change
- C. Huntingford, P. Zelazowski, +28 authors P. Cox
- 1 April 2013
Assessing potential future carbon loss from tropical forests is important for evaluating the efficacy of programmes for reducing emissions from deforestation and degradation (REDD). An exploration of… Expand
Current changes in tropical precipitation.
- R. Allan, B. J. Soden, V. John, William Ingram, William Ingram, P. Good
- Environmental Science
- 1 April 2010
Current changes in tropical precipitation from satellite data and climate models are assessed. Wet and dry regions of the tropics are defined as the highest 30% and lowest 70% of monthly… Expand
Comparing Tropical Forest Projections from Two Generations of Hadley Centre Earth System Models, HadGEM2-ES and HadCM3LC
AbstractFuture changes in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations and associated influences on climate could affect the future sustainability of tropical forests. The authors report on tropical… Expand
Large rainfall changes consistently projected over substantial areas of tropical land
- R. Chadwick, P. Good, G. Martin, D. Rowell
- Environmental Science
- 1 February 2016
This study quantifies a direct link between global greenhouse gas emissions and rainfall changes over tropical land, and identifies regions most at risk of large changes, such as southern and east… Expand
A step‐response simple climate model to reconstruct and interpret AOGCM projections
- P. Good, J. Gregory, J. Lowe
- Geology
- 16 January 2011
[1] We propose a new simple climate modelling (SCM) framework for making fast climate projections and for interpreting global climate model (GCM) projections. This SCM is derived from CO2 step GCM… Expand
Quantifying Environmental Drivers of Future Tropical Forest Extent
Abstract Future changes in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations, and their associated influences on climate, will affect the future sustainability of tropical forests. While dynamic global… Expand
A Simple Moisture Advection Model of Specific Humidity Change over Land in Response to SST Warming
- R. Chadwick, P. Good, K. Willett
- Environmental Science
- 5 October 2016
AbstractA simple conceptual model of surface specific humidity change over land is described, based on the effect of increased moisture advection from the oceans in response to sea surface… Expand
Surface warming patterns drive tropical rainfall pattern responses to CO2 forcing on all timescales
- R. Chadwick, P. Good, T. Andrews, G. Martin
- Environmental Science, Geology
- 28 January 2014
Mechanisms behind regional tropical rainfall responses to CO2 forcing are examined in idealized climate model experiments, traceable to transient forcing scenarios. As previously shown, the pattern… Expand