• Publications
  • Influence
Greed and Grievance in Civil War
We investigate the causes of civil war, using a new data set of wars during 1960-99. We test a `greed’ theory focusing on the ability to finance rebellion, against a`grievance’ theory focusing on
Breaking the Conflict Trap: Civil War and Development Policy
Most wars are now civil wars. Even though international wars attract enormous global attention, they have become infrequent and brief. Civil wars usually attract less attention, but they have become
On the economic consequences of civil war
A model of the economic effects of civil war and the post-war period is developed. A key feature is the adjustment of the capital stock through capital flight. Post-war this flight can either be
On economic causes of civil war
The authors investigate whether civil wars have economic causes. The model is based on utility theory, rebels will conduct a civil war if the perceived benefits outweigh the costs of rebellion. Using
Explaining African Economic Performance
Africa has had slow growth and a massive exodus of capital. In many respects it has been the most capital-hostile region. We review and interpret the aggregate-level and microeconomic literatures to
On the Incidence of Civil War in Africa
An econometric model of civil war is applied to the analysis of conflict in sub-Saharan Africa. Results show that Africa has had a similar incidence of civil conflict to other developing regions,
On the Duration of Civil War
This article explores empirically the duration of civil war. It relates the duration of civil war to two alternative models of conflict and culls testable hypotheses from the case study literature on
Economic Causes of Civil Conflict and their Implications for Policy
EMBARGOED: This item is not for news wire transmission, posting on websites, or any other media use until June 15, 2000 at 3 pm EDT (Washington time or 18:00 GMT).
...
1
2
3
4
5
...