Forecastability: Insights from Physics, Graphical Decomposition, and Information Theory
- P. Catt
- Economics
- 2009
Catt’s aim with this paper is to equip forecasters with some cross-disciplinary theory on forecastability and to provide practical techniques for assessing how forecastable a historical time series…
Research note: The theory and practice of SAP's ERP forecasting functionality
- P. Catt
- BusinessJournal of Enterprise Information Management
- 26 October 2008
The SAP ERP system contains robust forecasting methods, but could be substantially improved by incorporating simultaneous forecast comparisons, prediction intervals, seasonal plots and/or auto correlation charts, linear regressions lines for trend analysis, and event management based on structured judgmental forecasting or intervention analysis.
Assessing forecast model performance in an ERP environment
- P. Catt, R. Barbour, D. Robb
- BusinessIndustrial management & data systems
- 23 June 2008
The findings of the study support the adoption of CFE as a more relevant commercial decision‐making measure than commonly applied statistical forecast measures.
Assessing the Cost of Forecast Error: A Practical Example
- P. Catt
- Business, Environmental Science
- 3 September 2007
Peter provides a detailed tutorial on the costs associated with forecast errors. His procedure considers inventory costs, including safety stock, as well as the costs of lost sales attributable to…
Commentary: Big Data and the Internet of Things
- P. Catt
- Business
- 2017
Catt's commentary on Snapp's big data article addresses his main concerns about Blue Ridge's assertions but also explores areas where he thinks big data has "the potential to improve supply-chain…
SAP®'s Univariate Sales Forecasting Functionality: An Empirical Study
- P. Catt
- Business
- 2007
The accuracy of sales forecasts is a major determinant of inventory costs and service level driven revenues. Failure to establish future customer demand without a reasonable degree of certainty often…
The Morlidge Guiding Principles vs. Armstrong's Principles of Forecasting
- P. Catt
- Business
- 2012
Catt comments on Steve Morlidge’s articles on Guiding Principles of the Forecasting process (published in Foresight, issues 22 and 23). Copyright International Institute of Forecasters, 2012
Coming to Terms with Our Own Context [Book Review]
- P. Catt
- Philosophy
- 1 March 2011
The review and analysis of the book 'Worship and Liturgy in Context: Studies and Case Studies in Theology and Practice' by Duncan B Forrester and Doug Gay is discussed. Some of the unique aspects and…
Reply to “Cost of Forecast Error” Commentaries
- P. Catt
- Environmental Science
- 2007
Peter responds to the three commentaries on his article entitled “Assessing the Cost of Forecast Error; A Practical Example.” (Published in Issue 7 of Foresight) The commentaries were made by Thomas…
Using Process Behaviour Charts to Improve Forecasting and Decision Making 48 Upcoming in Foresight 49 New Directions in Managing the Forecasting Process
- Scott Armstrong, A. Banerji, U. Küsters
- Business
- 2013
c o n t e n t s " Knowledge of truth is always more than theoretical and intellectual. It is the product of activity as well as its cause. Scholarly reflection therefore must grow out of real…
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