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Strategies for containing an emerging influenza pandemic in Southeast Asia
Highly pathogenic H5N1 influenza A viruses are now endemic in avian populations in Southeast Asia, and human cases continue to accumulate. Although currently incapable of sustained human-to-humanExpand
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Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic
Development of strategies for mitigating the severity of a new influenza pandemic is now a top global public health priority. Influenza prevention and containment strategies can be considered underExpand
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Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model-based analysis
Summary Background In the face of rapidly changing data, a range of case fatality ratio estimates for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) have been produced that differ substantially inExpand
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Pandemic Potential of a Strain of Influenza A (H1N1): Early Findings
Swine Flu Benchmark The World Health Organization (WHO) announced on 29 April 2009, a level-5 pandemic alert for a strain of H1N1 influenza originating in pigs in Mexico and transmitting from humanExpand
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Time lines of infection and disease in human influenza: a review of volunteer challenge studies.
The dynamics of viral shedding and symptoms following influenza virus infection are key factors when considering epidemic control measures. The authors reviewed published studies describing theExpand
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Report 9: Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID19 mortality and healthcare demand
Neil M Ferguson, Daniel Laydon, Gemma Nedjati-Gilani, Natsuko Imai, Kylie Ainslie, Marc Baguelin, Sangeeta Bhatia, Adhiratha Boonyasiri, Zulma Cucunubá, Gina Cuomo-Dannenburg, Amy Dighe, IlariaExpand
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Transmission Dynamics of the Etiological Agent of SARS in Hong Kong: Impact of Public Health Interventions
We present an analysis of the first 10 weeks of the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) epidemic in Hong Kong. The epidemic to date has been characterized by two large clusters—initiated by twoExpand
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The Foot-and-Mouth Epidemic in Great Britain: Pattern of Spread and Impact of Interventions
We present an analysis of the current foot-and-mouth disease epidemic in Great Britain over the first 2 months of the spread of the virus. The net transmission potential of the pathogen and theExpand
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A New Framework and Software to Estimate Time-Varying Reproduction Numbers During Epidemics
Abstract The quantification of transmissibility during epidemics is essential to designing and adjusting public health responses. Transmissibility can be measured by the reproduction number R, theExpand
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Factors that make an infectious disease outbreak controllable.
The aim of this study is to identify general properties of emerging infectious agents that determine the likely success of two simple public health measures in controlling outbreaks, namely (i)Expand
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