Mthuli Ncube

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Prompted by the 20th anniversary of the 1993 World Development Report, a Lancet Commission revisited the case for investment in health and developed a new investment framework to achieve dramatic health gains by 2035. The Commission's report has four key messages, each accompanied by opportunities for action by national governments of low-income and(More)
Despite optimism about the end of AIDS, the HIV response requires sustained financing into the future. Given flat-lining international aid, countries' willingness and ability to shoulder this responsibility will be central to access to HIV care. This paper examines the potential to expand public HIV financing, and the extent to which governments have been(More)
For over five decades, regional integration has been part of the African continent’s overarching strategy for economic transformation. The establishment of regional trade agreements (RTAs) and regional economic communities (RECs) was viewed as the panacea for a whole range of socioeconomic, developmental and political challenges. Their scope included the(More)
1 | Introduction p.1 2 | Classification of fragile states in Africa p.2 3 | What are the drivers of fragility? p.3 4 | Global factors influencing conflict and fragility p.5 5 | Why is fragility so hard to fix and how long does it take? p.7 6 | What is the New Deal and how does it relate to the model of "drivers of fragility" and "inclusive growth"? p.6 7 |(More)
We propose a three-stage procedure for investigating the interrelationships among bank competition, risk taking and efficiency. The procedure is applied to Nigeria’s banking reforms (1993-2008). Stage I measures bank productive efficiency, using Data Envelopment Analysis, and the evolution of bank competition, using Conjectural Variations (CV) methods.(More)
Thanks to anti-retroviral therapies, people living with HIV in developing countries can now have a near-normal life at a cost of a few hundred dollars per year. We postulate that given this newly low cost of maintaining lives, there is a moral duty to rescue those who are infected. The core of the paper quantifies a reasonable lower bound for the fiscal(More)
BACKGROUND In 2015 around 15 million people living with HIV were receiving antiretroviral treatment (ART) in sub-Saharan Africa. Sustained provision of ART, though both prudent and necessary, creates substantial long-term fiscal obligations for countries affected by HIV/AIDS. As donor assistance for health remains constrained, novel financing mechanisms are(More)
Despite remaining a major killer in Africa, the HIV pandemic has been tamed medically into a chronic disease through advances in treatment drugs – antiretroviral therapies (ARTs). However, the full economic costs, over a lifecycle horizon, of keeping people on treatment and implementing prevention measures, are still not fully quantified and are still(More)
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