Michael G. Roberts

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We analyse data from the early epidemic of H1N1-2009 in New Zealand, and estimate the reproduction number R. We employ a renewal process which accounts for imported cases, illustrate some technical pitfalls, and propose a novel estimation method to address these pitfalls. Explicitly accounting for the infection-age distribution of imported cases and for the(More)
We investigate Turing bifurcations in a neural field model with one spatial dimension. For some parameter values the resulting Turing patterns are stable, while for others the patterns appear transiently. We show that this difference is due to the relative position in parameter space of the saddle-node bifurcation of a spatially periodic pattern and the(More)
Smectite clays demonstrate high affinities for nitroaromatics that strongly depend on the exchangeable cation. The K-smectites have high affinities for nitroaromatics, but Ca-smectites do not. Here we evaluate the ability of K-smectite to attenuate the bioavailability and hence toxicity of 2,4-dinitrotoluene (2,4-DNT) to the aquatic plant duckweed. In the(More)
MOTIVATION Surface-active peptides are amphiphilic in nature and have been shown to have the potential to interact at the membrane interface, possibly by lying parallel to the membrane surface. Present methodology for the identification of these helices uses a fixed window size, is based on a two-dimensional sum of hydrophobicity vectors and gives no(More)
Nitroaromatic compounds (NACs) are prominent soil and sediment contaminants that are strongly adsorbed by smectites at extents that depend on hydration properties of the exchangeable cation. Potassium smectites adsorb nitroaromatics much more strongly than calcium smectites, so that adjustment of K+ versus Ca2+ occupation on cation exchange sites in(More)
The effects of low level ultrasonic stimulation (250 mW cm-2; 1.5 MHz; continuous wave) on the frequency of miniature end-plate potential (MEPP) production, at the frog neuromuscular junction, have been examined in two situations. In a simple exposure environment, where the muscle was immersed in Ringer solution and stretched over a polyurethane resin base(More)
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