Marcus A. Trail

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Heat-related mortality in US cities is expected to more than double by the mid-to-late 21st century. Rising heat exposure in cities is projected to result from: 1) climate forcings from changing global atmospheric composition; and 2) local land surface characteristics responsible for the urban heat island effect. The extent to which heat management(More)
Nonlinear sensitivity analysis of a CTM is used to develop a reduced form model. Reduced form model allows performing detailed uncertainty assessment of PM 2.5. Emissions-related uncertainty in modeled daily PM 2.5 concentration is roughly 50%. Emission uncertainty explains much of the errors in modeled PM 2.5 concentration. High order analysis allows(More)
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