Comparing Effect Sizes in Follow-Up Studies: ROC Area, Cohen's d, and r
This work outlines why AUC is the preferred measure of predictive or diagnostic accuracy in forensic psychology or psychiatry, and urges researchers and practitioners to use numbers rather than verbal labels to characterize effect sizes.
Violent Recidivism of Mentally Disordered Offenders
Multivariate techniques were used to derive and validate an actuarial instrument for the prediction of violent postrelease offenses by mentally disordered offenders. The 618 subjects were a…
A brief actuarial assessment for the prediction of wife assault recidivism: the Ontario domestic assault risk assessment.
- N. Hilton, G. Harris, M. Rice, Carol Lang, C. Cormier, Kathryn J. Lines
- LawPsychological Assessment
- 1 September 2004
An actuarial assessment to predict male-to-female marital violence was constructed from a pool of potential predictors in a sample of 589 offenders identified in police records and followed up for an average of almost 5 years, showing a large effect size in predicting new assaults against legal or common-law wives or ex-wives.
Violent offenders: Appraising and managing risk, 2nd ed.
Violent recidivism: assessing predictive validity.
Until very recently, there has been little evidence of the ability of either clinicians or actuarial instruments to predict violent behavior. Moreover, a confusing variety of measures have been…
A multisite comparison of actuarial risk instruments for sex offenders.
- G. Harris, M. Rice, V. Quinsey, M. Lalumière, D. Boer, Carol Lang
- PsychologyPsychological Assessment
- 1 September 2003
Survival analyses revealed that those offenders high in both psychopathy and sexual deviance were an especially high-risk group, and predictive accuracy was higher for child molesters than for rapists.
Cross-Validation and Extension of the Violence Risk Appraisal Guide for Child Molesters and Rapists
Survition analyses showed that child molesters exhibited higher risk of sexual recidivism than rapists or offenders against both children and adults, whereas the opposite was true for violent recidivist, andportional hazards event history analyses supported the use of the VRAG for the prediction of violentRecidivism among sex offenders.
Psychopathy as a taxon: evidence that psychopaths are a discrete class.
Taxometric analyses were applied to the construct of psychopathy and to several variables reflecting antisocial childhood, adult criminality, and criminal recidivism and supported the existence of a taxon underlying psychopathy.
The causes of rape: Understanding individual differences in the male propensity for sexual aggression
The Causes of Rape: Understanding Individual Differences in Male Propensity for Sexual Aggression examines why some men seem prone to rape, offers probable causes for this inclination, and provides a…
An evaluation of a maximum security therapeutic community for psychopaths and other mentally disordered offenders
Psychopaths present serious problems for the criminal justice system because they are responsible for many serious crimes and appear to be very resistant to treatment. The present study was a…