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Natural Time, Nowcasting and the Physics of Earthquakes: Estimation of Seismic Risk to Global Megacities
Natural Time (“NT”) refers to the concept of using small earthquake counts, for example of M > 3 events, to mark the intervals between large earthquakes, for example M > 6 events. The term was firstExpand
Nowcasting Earthquakes: A Comparison of Induced Earthquakes in Oklahoma and at the Geysers, California
Nowcasting is a new method of statistically classifying seismicity and seismic risk (Rundle et al. 2016). In this paper, the method is applied to the induced seismicity at the Geysers geothermalExpand
Natural Time and Nowcasting Earthquakes : Are Large Global Earthquakes Temporally Clustered ?
The objective of this paper is to analyze the temporal clustering of large global earthquakes with respect to natural time, or interevent count, as opposed to regular clock time. To do this, we useExpand
Integration of a multi terminal DC grid in an interconnected AC network
Several efforts are being made to install a multi terminal HVDC (MTDC) overlay grid in Europe to transmit bulk power from centralized renewable energy generation (e.g. in offshore windfarms) toExpand
Nowcasting Great Global Earthquake and Tsunami Sources
Nowcasting refers to the use of proxy data to estimate the current dynamic state of driven complex systems such as earthquakes, neural networks, or the financial markets. In previous papers, methodsExpand
Natural Time and Nowcasting Earthquakes: Are Large Global Earthquakes Temporally Clustered?
The objective of this paper is to analyze the temporal clustering of large global earthquakes with respect to natural time, or interevent count, as opposed to regular clock time. To do this, we useExpand
Statistical physics models for aftershocks and induced seismicity
TLDR
Nowcasting is introduced to extend RI forecasting to time-dependent seismicity, for example, during an aftershock sequence, and it is shown how nowcasting can be used to assess the success of these efforts to reduce the seismic activity. Expand
Nowcasting Global Earthquakes
The term "nowcasting" refers to the estimation of the current uncertain state of a dynamical system, whereas "forecasting" is a calculation of probabilities of future state(s). Nowcasting is a termExpand
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