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Applied Regression: An Introduction
Applied regression allows social scientists who are not specialists in quantitative techniques to arrive at clear verbal explanations of their numerical results. Provides a lucid discussion of moreExpand
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The American Voter Revisited
The presidential elections of 2000 and 2004 will be remembered as two of the most contentious and polarizing political events in American history.In an attempt to understand what happened duringExpand
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Economic Determinants of Electoral Outcomes
Economic conditions shape election outcomes in the world's democracies. Good times keep parties in office, bad times cast them out. This proposition is robust, as the voluminous body of researchExpand
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Economic voting: an introduction
The group does not include everybody active in the field,but they are the lion’s share of the leaders. Still, we are sure that there are newresearchers in the field, whom we will soon learn about,Expand
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Election Forecasting: Principles and Practice
To forecast an election means to declare the outcome before it happens. Scientific approaches to election forecasting include polls, political stock markets and statistical models. I review theseExpand
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Comparative Democracy: the Economic Development Thesis
In comparative politics, an established finding—that economic development fosters democratic performance—has recently come under challenge. We counter this challenge with a dynamic pooled timeExpand
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Localism in Presidential Elections: The Home State Advantage
According to the folk wisdom of American politics, a presidential candidate has a vote advantage in his home state. While this proposition has intuitive appeal, it has never been tested. We evaluatedExpand
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Comparative Economic Voting: Britain, France, Germany, Italy*
likelihood of a vote for the incumbent coalition. In contrast, personal economic circumstances, no matter how measured, demonstrate nonexistent to weak effects on vote choice. Overall, economicExpand
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