Modeling of Uncertainties in Major Drivers in U.S. Electricity Markets: Preprint
The rationale for this project and a description of its alpha version, as well as some example results, are outlined, and some of the expected development efforts in SEDS are described.
Infrastructure and Disruptive Technologies
FY 2008 benefits analysis for EERE's RD3 portfolio
A presentation for the FY 2007 GPRA methodology review on the FY 2008 benefits analysis for EERE’s RD3 portfolio.
Is the Ghost in the Machine, or the Devil in the Details? Uncertainty and Model Complexity in Long-Range Energy-Environmental Policy Modeling
Over the past three decades, numerical energy-economic modeling has become the dominant tool for energy policy analysis, and is now playing a similar role in the analysis of climate change and…
Distributed Generation Adoption and Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Scenarios: Leapfrog, Lock-In, and Lopsided
- M. Leifman
- 19 February 2019
This paper presents the details of three scenarios -- leapfrog, lock-in, and lopsided -- that describe an illustrative set of technological states. Based largely on expert interviews, the paper…