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The art of modelling range‐shifting species

TLDR
Modelling approaches are explored that aim to minimize extrapolation errors and assess predictions against prior biological knowledge to promote methods appropriate to range‐shifting species.
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Mechanistic niche modelling: combining physiological and spatial data to predict species' ranges.

TLDR
Here, the principles of biophysical ecology can be used to link spatial data to the physiological responses and constraints of organisms, which provides a mechanistic view of the fundamental niche which can then be mapped to the landscape to infer range constraints.
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Birth of a biome: insights into the assembly and maintenance of the Australian arid zone biota

TLDR
This review highlights the opportunities that development of arid conditions provides for rapid and diverse evolutionary radiations, and re-enforces the emerging view that Pleistocene environmental change can have diverse impacts on genetic structure and diversity in different biomes.
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Predicting organismal vulnerability to climate warming: roles of behaviour, physiology and adaptation

TLDR
It is concluded that ectotherms sharing vulnerability traits seem concentrated in lowland tropical forests and their vulnerability may be exacerbated by negative biotic interactions, as genetic and selective data are scant.
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Thermal-safety margins and the necessity of thermoregulatory behavior across latitude and elevation

  • J. SundayA. Bates R. Huey
  • Environmental Science
    Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
  • 10 March 2014
TLDR
It is found that most terrestrial ectotherms are insufficiently tolerant of high temperatures to survive the warmest potential body temperatures in exposed habitats and must therefore thermoregulate by using shade, burrows, or evaporative cooling and show why heat-tolerance limits are relatively invariant in comparison with cold limits.
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The potential for behavioral thermoregulation to buffer “cold-blooded” animals against climate warming

TLDR
It is shown how behavioral and mass/energy balance models can be combined with spatial data on climate, topography, and vegetation to predict impacts of increased air temperature on thermoregulating ectotherms such as reptiles and insects (a large portion of global biodiversity).
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Declining body size: a third universal response to warming?

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Predicting species distributions for conservation decisions

TLDR
It is proposed that species distribution modellers should get involved in real decision-making processes that will benefit from their technical input and have the potential to better bridge theory and practice, and contribute to improve both scientific knowledge and conservation outcomes.
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Correlation and process in species distribution models: bridging a dichotomy

Within the field of species distribution modelling an apparent dichotomy exists between process‐based and correlative approaches, where the processes are explicit in the former and implicit in the…
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Hybridization, glaciation and geographical parthenogenesis.

  • M. Kearney
  • Biology
    Trends in ecology & evolution
  • 1 September 2005
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