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Toward a Relational Concept of Uncertainty: about Knowing Too Little, Knowing Too Differently, and Accepting Not to Know
Uncertainty of late has become an increasingly important and controversial topic in water resource management, and natural resources management in general. Diverse managing goals, changing… Expand
Maturing the New Water Management Paradigm: Progressing from Aspiration to Practice
Over the past decade a series of major revisions to the generation and use of knowledge in the context of natural resources management has started to undermine basic assumptions on which traditional… Expand
Ambiguity: the challenge of knowing and deciding together
We assess the knowledge production processes currently employed in natural resources management, particularly water resources, and claim that part of this problem resides in how ambiguity is handled. Expand
More is not always better: coping with ambiguity in natural resources management.
- M. Brugnach, A. Dewulf, H. Henriksen, P. van der Keur
- Computer Science, Medicine
- Journal of environmental management
We discuss the notions of framing and ambiguity, and identify five broad strategies to handle it: rational problem solving, persuasion, dialogical learning, negotiation and opposition. Expand
Why are decisions in flood disaster management so poorly supported by information from flood models?
- J. Leskens, M. Brugnach, A. Hoekstra, W. Schuurmans
- Computer Science
- Environ. Model. Softw.
- 1 March 2014
Social Network Analysis provides insight in how model information flows through a dynamic network of participants in flood disaster organizations. Expand
Identification of Major Sources of Uncertainty in Current IWRM Practice. Illustrated for the Rhine Basin
This paper identifies and characterises uncertainty as it occurs in the different stages of the IWRM process with respect to sources, nature and type of uncertainty. Expand
Analysing the cascades of uncertainty in flood defence projects: How "not knowing enough" is related to "knowing differently"
We explore the relationship between fundamentally different uncertainties – which could be classified as unpredictability, incomplete knowledge or ambiguity – and show that uncertainties are not isolated. Expand
Coping with Uncertainty in River Management: Challenges and Ways Forward
- J. Warmink, M. Brugnach, J. Vinke-de Kruijf, R. Schielen, D. C. Augustijn
- Water Resources Management
- 6 July 2017
Coping with uncertainties is inherent to river management planning and policymaking. Yet, policymakers often perceive uncertainty as a complicating factor. We examine the challenges faced by… Expand
Time scale and intensity dependency in multiplicative cascades for temporal rainfall disaggregation.
 Multiplicative random cascades (MRCs) can parsimoniously generate highly intermittent patterns similar to those in rainfall. The elemental MRC model parameter is the cascade weight, which… Expand
Complexity and Uncertainty: Rethinking The Modelling Activity