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Harmonization of unique dataset on probabilistic evolution of key energy technologies. Expectations about the impact of public R&D investments on future costs. Highlighting the key uncertainties and a lack of consensus on cost evolution. a b s t r a c t In this paper we standardize, compare, and aggregate results from thirteen surveys of technology experts,(More)
Mitigating climate change will require innovation in energy technologies. Policy makers are faced with the question of how to promote this innovation, and whether to focus on a few technologies or to spread their bets. We present results on the extent to which public R&D might shape the future cost of energy technologies by 2030. We bring together three(More)
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