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T his paper presents a multiple-objective decision analysis approach to qualitatively and quantitatively evaluate different potassium iodide (KI) distribution plans for a hypothetical local region. We developed this approach for a U.S. National Research Council committee that was charged with figuring out the best means for protecting people against(More)
We provide a decision analysis perspective on the decision making process leading to the merger of The Institute of Management Sciences (TIMS) and the Operations Research Society of America (ORSA) to form the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS). Throughout the merger negotiation era from 1989 until the merger in 1995,(More)
I n our first article, Joseph B. Kadane discusses " Partial-Kelly Strategies and Expected Utility: Small-Edge Asymptotics. " The next article is by Konstantinos V. Katsikopoulos, on " Psychological Heuristics for Making Inferences: Definition, Performance, and the Emerging Theory and Practice. " We then move to papers analyzing strategic national defense.(More)
H onoring Michael H. Rothkopf's contributions to decision analysis and operations research, the papers in this special issue in memory of Michael H. Rothkopf focus on auction theory, field data, and experiments. The contributors to this issue include Shachat For bidders in standard sealed bid auctions, I believe that decision theory dominates game theory.(More)
We present an approach for efficiently assessing stakeholder evaluation concerns in the first stage of problem structuring for decisions involving complex systems. We used a Web survey to assess the appropriateness of a set of evaluation concerns for evaluating Central Arizona water resources system policies and to gather information on stakeholder(More)
This paper derives and applies preference models for decision analysis when consequences of the decision can vary across a geographic region. These models address both decisions where decision consequences are constant within specified subregions of the overall geographic region, and where consequences can vary in a continuous fashion across the region. We(More)