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Revisiting the Resource Curse: Natural Disasters, the Price of Oil, and Democracy
Abstract Fluctuations in the price of oil and the contemporaneous political changes in oil-producing countries have raised an important question about the link between oil rents, politicalExpand
Uncertainty and Incentives in Crisis Bargaining: Game-Free Analysis of International Conflict
We study two different varieties of uncertainty that countries can face in international crises and establish general results about the relationship between these sources of uncertainty and theExpand
Mechanism design goes to war: peaceful outcomes with interdependent and correlated types
In this paper, we consider the possibility of identifying peaceful mechanisms such as bargaining protocols, international institutions, or norms that can enable countries to settle disputes in theExpand
Politics at the Water’s Edge
The role of domestic politics is investigated, using a model to show how domestic opposition during a crisis can reveal to a rival state private information about the incumbent. In particular, theExpand
Design, Inference, and the Strategic Logic of Suicide Terrorism
In “The Strategic Logic of Suicide Terrorism,” Robert Pape (2003) presents an analysis of his suicide terrorism data. He uses the data to draw inferences about how territorial occupation andExpand
Inducing Deterrence through Moral Hazard in Alliance Contracts
Do military alliances foster aggressive behavior in allies to the point of undermining the security goal of the alliance? Like others, we find that alliance commitments may cause moral hazard becauseExpand
The Calculus of the Security Dilemma
Some scholars known as offensive realists claim that in the uncertainty of world politics, trust and cooperation between states is extremely unlikely. Others, such as defensive realists , claim thatExpand
Dispute Resolution Institutions and Strategic Militarization
Engagement in a destructive war can be understood as the “punishment” for entering into a dispute. Institutions that reduce the chance that disputes lead to war make this punishment less severe. ThisExpand
Settling It on the Field
Using a sample of battlefield data from twentieth-century wars, the author of this article tests a number of previously untested hypotheses linking battle events and the decision to end violentExpand