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Controlling wildfire suppression expenditures has become a major public policy concern in the United States. However, most policy remedies have focused on the bio-physical determinants of suppression costs: fuel loads and weather, for example. We show that two non-biophysical variables—newspaper coverage and political press-ure—have a significant effect on(More)
Introduction_____________________ In recent years, expenditures on wildfire suppression have escalated, forcing reallocations within fiscal years and supplemental budget requests to cover unexpected high costs. Although the issue of cost containment has become widespread, information about what affects the expenditures is not. One study (Gonzales-Caban(More)
Approaches for forecasting wildfire suppression costs in advance of a wildfire season are demonstrated for two lead times: fall and spring of the current fiscal year (Oct. 1–Sept. 30). Model functional forms are derived from aggregate expressions of a least cost plus net value change model. Empirical estimates of these models are used to generate(More)
The US Forest Service and other land-management agencies seek better tools for anticipating future expenditures for wildfire suppression. We developed regression models for forecasting US Forest Service suppression spending at 1-, 2-, and 3-year lead times. We compared these models to another readily available forecast model, the 10-year moving average(More)
With more than 16 million acres of commercial timberland, Oregon's forest products industry is an important part of Oregon's economy and a major player in the Nation's wood products market. Despite declining production over the last decade, in 1998 Oregon was still the leading producer of softwood lumber and plywood in the United States, and the timber(More)
1. INTRODUCTION The wildland fire management organization of the United States Forest Service (USFS) operates under policy and budget legacies that began nearly-100 years ago and a forest fuel situation that is all too current. The confluence of these three factors contributes to increased burning and firefighting costs for the agency, and increased concern(More)
Thank you for joining us along the Front Range in Colorado for a conference aimed at advancing the knowledge and practice related to the human side of managing fire prone landscapes. Specifically, this conference was intended for researchers and professionals involved in the science or practice of the human dimensions of wildland fire including suppression,(More)
Catastrophic wildfires occurring over the last several years have led land management agencies to focus on reducing hazardous fuels. These wildland fuel reduction projects will likely be concentrated in shorter interval, fire-adapted ecosystems that have been moderately or significantly altered from their historical range. But where are these situations(More)