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Cover : All individual ensemble members for western Denmark plotted, with the control forecast in black, and the derived adjusted quantiles. Abstract (max. 2000 char.): The Ensemble project investigated the use of meteorological ensemble forecasts for the prognosis of uncertainty of the forecasts, and found a good method to make use of ensemble forecasts.(More)
Inherent uncertainties in short-range quantitative precipitation forecasts (QPF) from the high-resolution, limited-area numerical weather prediction model DMI-HIRLAM (LAM) are addressed using two different approaches to creating a small ensemble of LAM simulations, with focus on prediction of extreme rainfall events over European river basins. The first(More)
Short-term prediction of wind energy is by now an established field of wind power technology. For the last 15 years, our groups have worked in the field and developed short-term prediction models being used operatively at the major Danish utilities since 1996. The next step in the development of the models is to use ensemble forecasts. The ensembles are(More)
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