Jonathan M Powell

Publications45
h-index11
Citations1,145
Highly Influential Citations63
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Determinants of the Attempting and Outcome of Coups d’état
Previous studies have attested to leaders “coup-proofing” their regimes by reducing the ability or disposition of their armies to seek their removal. The following article tests the utility of these…
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Global instances of coups from 1950 to 2010: A new dataset
Once considered a ‘hot topic’ among scholars, research on coups d’état has waned in recent years. This decline is surprising given that 7 coups have happened between January 2008 and December 2010,…
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An assessment of the ‘democratic’ coup theory
The Egyptian military's unconstitutional removal of President Mohamed Morsi has reignited a debate regarding the theory of the ‘democratic coup’. Though coups are almost invariably condemned, many…
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Coup d’état or Coup d'Autocracy? How Coups Impact Democratization, 1950–2008
This paper considers how coups impact democratization. Current research focuses on coups as a threat to consolidated and fledgling democracies. Policymakers have adapted to this viewpoint by treating…
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Trading coups for civil war
This paper investigates civil conflict as a product of the survival strategies of African leaders. Specifically, the paper offers a theory of risk substitution that predicts coup-fearing leaders will…
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Stylistic Registers in Juvenal
Juvenal is commonly said to have adopted the grand or high style. In this paper it is argued that statements to this effect are misleading. Over-schematic contrasts between Juvenal and Horace are…
The New Machiavelli: How to Wield Power in the Modern World
'Niccolo Machiavelli is misunderstood,' argues Jonathan Powell in his twenty-first-century reworking of the Italian philosopher's influential masterpiece, "The Prince". Taking the lessons Machiavelli…
Economic interdependence and post-coup democratization
ABSTRACT Despite being traditionally seen as the largest threat to democratization, coups have recently been argued to provide a window of opportunity for a democratic transition. Central to…
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Trading Coups for Civil War: The Strategic Logic of Tolerating Rebellion
This paper investigates civil conflict as a product of the survival strategies of African leaders. Specifically, the paper offers a theory of risk substitution that predicts coup-fearing leaders will…
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An Assessment of the ‘Democratic’ Coup Theory: Democratic Trajectories in Africa, 1952-2012
The Egyptian military’s unconstitutional removal of President Mohamed Morsi has reignited a debate regarding the theory of the ‘democratic coup’. Though coups are almost invariably condemned, many…
View on SSRN
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