Jonathan M Powell

Publications48
h-index12
Citations1,163
Highly Influential Citations63
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Determinants of the Attempting and Outcome of Coups d’état
Previous studies have attested to leaders “coup-proofing” their regimes by reducing the ability or disposition of their armies to seek their removal. The following article tests the utility of these…
Global instances of coups from 1950 to 2010: A new dataset
Once considered a ‘hot topic’ among scholars, research on coups d’état has waned in recent years. This decline is surprising given that 7 coups have happened between January 2008 and December 2010,…
Coup d’état or Coup d'Autocracy? How Coups Impact Democratization, 1950–2008
This paper considers how coups impact democratization. Current research focuses on coups as a threat to consolidated and fledgling democracies. Policymakers have adapted to this viewpoint by treating…
Trading coups for civil war
This paper investigates civil conflict as a product of the survival strategies of African leaders. Specifically, the paper offers a theory of risk substitution that predicts coup-fearing leaders will…
Regime Vulnerability and the Diversionary Threat of Force
In this article, I move beyond prior efforts to explore the relationship between the risk of a coup and international conflict by considering alternatives that leaders can utilize to strengthen their…
An assessment of the ‘democratic’ coup theory
The Egyptian military's unconstitutional removal of President Mohamed Morsi has reignited a debate regarding the theory of the ‘democratic coup’. Though coups are almost invariably condemned, many…
Stylistic Registers in Juvenal
Juvenal is commonly said to have adopted the grand or high style. In this paper it is argued that statements to this effect are misleading. Over-schematic contrasts between Juvenal and Horace are…
The New Machiavelli: How to Wield Power in the Modern World
'Niccolo Machiavelli is misunderstood,' argues Jonathan Powell in his twenty-first-century reworking of the Italian philosopher's influential masterpiece, "The Prince". Taking the lessons Machiavelli…
Economic interdependence and post-coup democratization
ABSTRACT Despite being traditionally seen as the largest threat to democratization, coups have recently been argued to provide a window of opportunity for a democratic transition. Central to…
Trading Coups for Civil War: The Strategic Logic of Tolerating Rebellion
This paper investigates civil conflict as a product of the survival strategies of African leaders. Specifically, the paper offers a theory of risk substitution that predicts coup-fearing leaders will…
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