A terminology and typology of uncertainty is presented together with a framework for the modelling process, its interaction with the broader water management process and the role of uncertainty at different stages in the modelling processes. Brief reviews have been made of 14 different (partly complementary) methods commonly used in uncertainty assessment… (More)
This document contains three parts: (1) an introduction, (2) an overview with building blocks and methodological suggestions for a formal expert elicitation procedure; and (3) a literature list with key sources of information used and suggestions for further reading. A glossary is provided in Appendix 1. Part one starts with the scope and aim of this… (More)
His forthcoming thesis will be a critical analysis of the assessment practice of the climate issue, with a special focus on the question of uncertainty management in science for policy.
Introduction 3 Part I. Background information on communicating uncertainty 5 1. Reporting uncertainty in a gradual and custom-made form 6 2. The reader's perspective 7 2.1 Access to report/document 8 2.2 Chapters/sections/sentences paid attention to 8 2.3 Processing of uncertainty information 10 2.4 Interpretation of uncertainty information 11 2.5 Use of… (More)
This report contains the Tool Catalogue of the RIVM/MNP Guidance for Uncertainty Assessment and Communication. The Guidance has been developed under the direction of Peter Janssen (RIVM/MNP) and Jeroen van der Sluijs (Utrecht University) as part of the strategic research project 'Uncertainty Analysis' (S/550002) at RIVM.
This report contains the Detailed Guidance of the RIVM/MNP Guidance for Uncertainty Assessment and Communication. The Guidance has been developed under the direction of Peter Janssen (RIVM/MNP) and Jeroen van der Sluijs (Utrecht University) as part of the strategic research project 'Uncertainty Analysis' (S/550002) at RIVM.
This document contains additional debate between Bayer CropScience and authors of the chapter 'Seed-dressing systemic insecticides and honeybees' Laura Maxim and Jeroen van der Sluijs. The Bayer CropScience view on Maxim and van der Sluijs 'Seed-dressing systemic insecticides and honeybees' (page 2) Response to the Bayer Cropscience (Richard Schmuck)… (More)
Objectives and aims of the case study This report presents the policy recommendations that follow from the EPINET projects investigations into assessments of ethical, legal and societal aspects of smart electricity grids in the European Union. Its main objective has been to evaluate the state-of-the-art in assessments in this domain, especially focusing on… (More)