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Actual Causality
TLDR
Causality plays a central role in the way people structure the world; we constantly seek causal explanations for our observations. Expand
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General cognitive principles for learning structure in time and space
How are hierarchically structured sequences of objects, events or actions learned from experience and represented in the brain? When several streams of regularities present themselves, which will beExpand
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Reasoning about knowledge: a survey
TLDR
In this survey, I attempt to identify and describe some of the common threads that tie together work in reasoning about knowledge in such diverse elds as philosophy, economics, linguistics, artiicial intelligence, and theoretical computer science with particular emphasis on work of the past ve years, particularly in computer science. Expand
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On the Expected Value of Games with Absentmindedness
Abstract Piccione and Rubinstein argue that a seemingly paradoxical form of time inconsistency can arise in games of imperfect recall. Their argument depends on calculating the expected value of aExpand
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Effect Heterogeneity and Bias in Main-Effects-Only Regression Models
The overwhelming majority of OLS regression models estimated in the social sciences, and in sociology in particular, enter all independent variables as main effects. Few regression models containExpand
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Heuristics, Probability and Causality. A Tribute to Judea Pearl
The field of Artificial Intelligence has changed a great deal since the 80s, and arguably no one has played a larger role in that change than Judea Pearl. Judea Pearl's work made probability theExpand
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Uncertainty, belief, and probability
TLDR
We introduce a new probabilistic approach to dealing with uncertainty, based on the observation that probability theory does not require that every event be assigned a probability. Expand
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Beyond nash equilibrium: solution concepts for the 21st century
TLDR
Nash equilibrium is the most commonly-used notion of equilibrium in game theory. Expand
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Substantive Rationality and Backward Induction
Aumann has proved that common knowledge of substantive rationality implies the backwards induction solution in games of perfect information. Stalnaker has proved that it does not. Roughly speaking, aExpand
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Sufficient Conditions for Causality to Be Transitive
Natural conditions are provided that are sufficient to ensure that causality as defined by approaches that use counterfactual dependence and structural equations will be transitive.
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