• Publications
  • Influence
On the Validity of the Regression Discontinuity Design for Estimating Electoral Effects: New Evidence from over 40,000 Close Races
The regression discontinuity (RD) design is a valuable tool for identifying electoral effects, but this design is only effective when relevant actors do not have precise control over electionExpand
  • 268
  • 33
  • PDF
Press Coverage and Political Accountability
We estimate the impact of press coverage on citizen knowledge, politicians’ actions, and policy. We find that voters living in areas where, for exogenous reasons, the press covers their U.S. HouseExpand
  • 535
  • 31
Voting Weights and Formateur Advantages in the Formation of Coalition Governments
TLDR
We examine the relationship between parliamentary seats and cabinet posts in European governments between 1946 and 2001. Expand
  • 157
  • 25
  • PDF
Valence Politics and Equilibrium in Spatial Election Models
Spatial models of two-party or two-candidatecompetition almost never have pure-strategy Nashequilibria when the issue space has more than onedimension. This paper shows that the introductionExpand
  • 364
  • 23
Party Control of State Government and the Distribution of Public Expenditures
This paper examines the effects of party control of state governments on the distribution of intergovernmental transfers across counties from 1957 to 1997. We find that the governing parties skew theExpand
  • 252
  • 23
Candidate Positioning in U.S. House Elections
siveness waned in the 1980s and 1990s. n an extended republic, the desires of citizens are translated into law through the election of representatives. Candidates present themselves to voters, whoExpand
  • 580
  • 21
  • PDF
The Strength of Issues: Using Multiple Measures to Gauge Preference Stability, Ideological Constraint, and Issue Voting
A venerable supposition of American survey research is that the vast majority of voters have incoherent and unstable preferences about political issues, which in turn have little impact on voteExpand
  • 446
  • 19
  • PDF
An Informational Rationale for Political Parties
preferences are not sufficiently close to the party's platform. We find that when party labels are very informa? tive, the parties' platforms converge. When party labels are less informa? tive,Expand
  • 461
  • 18
The Incumbency Advantage in U.S. Elections: An Analysis of State and Federal Offices, 1942–2000
Rising incumbency advantages in U.S. House elections have prompted a wave of new electoral laws, ranging from campaign nance regulations to term limits. We test a central claim for these reforms {Expand
  • 320
  • 17
  • PDF
Political Parties and the Distribution of federal Outlays
Theory: Several models of distributive politics predict a role for parties in determining the allocation of federal outlays. Hypotheses: The number of Democratic voters will be positively correlatedExpand
  • 478
  • 16