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Scenarios of Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Atmospheric Concentrations
This and a companion report constitute one of twenty-one Synthesis and Assessment Products called for in the Strategic Plan for the U.S. Climate Change Science Program. These studies are structured… Expand
The MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) Model: Version 4
The Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) model is the part of the MIT Integrated Global Systems Model (IGSM) that represents the human systems. EPPA is a recursive-dynamic multi-regional… Expand
Probabilistic forecast for twenty-first-century climate based on uncertainties in emissions (without policy) and climate parameters.
Abstract The Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) Integrated Global System Model is used to make probabilistic projections of climate change from 1861 to 2100. Since the model’s first… Expand
An Issue of Permanence: Assessing the Effectiveness of Temporary Carbon Storage
In this paper, we present a method to quantify the effectiveness of carbon mitigation options taking into account the `permanence' of the emissions reduction. While the issue of permanence is most… Expand
Health damages from air pollution in China.
- Kira J. M. Matus, Nam KyungMin, N. E. Selin, L. Lamsal, J. Reilly, S. Paltsev
- Economics, Environmental Science
- 1 February 2012
A B S T R A C T This study evaluates air pollution-related health impacts on the Chinese economy by using an expanded version of the Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis model. We estimated that… Expand
Indirect Emissions from Biofuels: How Important?
- J. Melillo, J. Reilly, +7 authors C. A. Schlosser
- Environmental Science, Medicine
- 4 December 2009
Biofuel Backfire For compelling economical, geopolitical, and environmental reasons, biofuels are considered an attractive alternative to fossil fuels for meeting future global energy demands.… Expand
Uncertainty Analysis of Climate Change and Policy Response
To aid climate policy decisions, accurate quantitative descriptions of the uncertainty in climate outcomes under various possible policies are needed. Here, we apply an earth systems model to… Expand
Future Effects of Ozone on Carbon Sequestration and Climate Change Policy Using a Global Biogeochemical Model
Exposure of plants to ozone inhibits photosynthesis and therefore reduces vegetation production and carbon sequestration. The reduced carbon storage would then require further reductions in fossil… Expand
Agricultural Research and Development: Public and Private Investments Under Alternative Markets and Institutions
mpirical studies indicate high economic returns from the public's investment in agricultural research. Yet, even as society is placing broader demands on the research system, taxpayer support for… Expand
Distributional Impacts of Carbon Pricing: A General Equilibrium Approach with Micro-Data for Households
Many policies to limit greenhouse gas emissions have at their core efforts to put a price on carbon emissions. Carbon pricing impacts households both by raising the cost of carbon intensive products… Expand