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It Takes Two

Theories of conflict emphasize dyadic interaction, yet existing empirical studies of civil war focus largely on state attributes and pay little attention to nonstate antagonists. We recast civil war…
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Social Conflict in Africa: A New Database

We describe the Social Conflict in Africa Database (SCAD), a new event dataset for conducting research and analysis on various forms of social and political unrest in Africa. SCAD contains…
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Refugees and the Spread of Civil War

Certain regions of the world experience more conflict than others. Previous analyses have shown that a civil war in one country significantly increases the likelihood that neighboring states will…
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Non-state actors in civil wars: A new dataset

This paper introduces the Non-State Actors in Armed Conflict Dataset (NSA), which contains detailed information on the state–rebel group dyads included in the Uppsala Conflict Data Project Dyadic…
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Climate change, rainfall, and social conflict in Africa

Much of the debate over the security implications of climate change revolves around whether changing weather patterns will lead to future conflict. This article addresses whether deviations from…
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From Climate Change to Conflict? No Consensus Yet

Many scholars, policymakers, and activists have argued that climate change will lead to resource competition, mass migration, and, ultimately, an increase in armed conflict around the world. This…
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Transnational Rebels: Neighboring States as Sanctuary for Rebel Groups

To what extent do international factors affect domestic conflict processes? How do external conditions affect the state's repressive capabilities and the opportunities for opposition groups to…
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Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Migration and Conflict

This paper has been commissioned by the World Bank Group for the "Social Dimensions of Climate Change" workshop. Views represented are those of the authors, and do not represent an official position…

Transborder Ethnic Kin and Civil War

Abstract A series of studies has shown that civil wars are caused not only by factors inside countries, but also by effects operating across state borders. Whereas a first wave of quantitative…
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Explaining External Support for Insurgent Groups

Abstract Many rebel organizations receive significant assistance from external governments, yet the reasons why some rebels attract foreign support while others do not is poorly understood. We…
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