Ian H. Jarman

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Time-to-event analysis is important in a wide range of applications from clinical prognosis to risk modeling for credit scoring and insurance. In risk modeling, it is sometimes required to make a simultaneous assessment of the hazard arising from two or more mutually exclusive factors. This paper applies to an existing neural network model for competing(More)
K-means clustering is widely used for exploratory data analysis. While its dependence on initialisation is well-known, it is common practice to assume that the partition with lowest sum-of-squares (SSQ) total i.e. within cluster variance, is both reproducible under repeated initialisations and also the closest that k-means can provide to true structure,(More)
We describe a recommender system in the domain of grocery shopping. While recommender systems have been widely studied, this is mostly in relation to leisure products (e.g. movies, books and music) with non-repeated purchases. In grocery shopping, however, consumers will make multiple purchases of the same or very similar products more frequently than(More)
OBJECTIVE An integrated decision support framework is proposed for clinical oncologists making prognostic assessments of patients with operable breast cancer. The framework may be delivered over a web interface. It comprises a triangulation of prognostic modelling, visualisation of historical patient data and an explanatory facility to interpret risk group(More)
This paper presents an analysis of censored survival data for breast cancer specific mortality and disease free survival. There are three stages to the process, namely time-to-event modelling, risk stratification by predicted outcome and model interpretation using rule extraction. Model selection was carried out using the benchmark linear model, Cox(More)
BACKGROUND Proteases of human pathogens are becoming increasingly important drug targets, hence it is necessary to understand their substrate specificity and to interpret this knowledge in practically useful ways. New methods are being developed that produce large amounts of cleavage information for individual proteases and some have been applied to extract(More)
Early characterization of patients with respect to their predicted response to treatment is a fundamental step towards the delivery of effective, personalized care. Starting from the results of a time-to-event model with competing risks using the framework of partial logistic artificial neural networks with automatic relevance determination (PLANNCR-ARD),(More)
BACKGROUND Management of nightlife in UK cities focuses on creating safe places for individuals to drink. Little is known about intoxication levels as measuring total alcohol consumption on nights out is complicated by early evening interviews missing subsequent consumption and later interviews risking individuals being too drunk to recall consumption or(More)
Acknowledgements We would like to thank all those who provided data for this report: (National Treatment Agency) for drugs and alcohol treatment data; and Julie Messer, Tom Powell and Liam Beardsmore (Office for National Statistics) for teenage conceptions data. We are very grateful for the support from all at the Centre for Public Health. In particular,(More)