This electronic document is a corrected update of the hardcopy version, published on 30 May 2006 together with a list of errata. Abstract Climate change scenarios for the Netherlands for temperature, precipitation, potential evaporation and wind for 2050, and for sea level rise for 2050 and 2100 have been constructed using a range of data sources and… (More)
 The vulnerability of society on extreme weather has resulted in extensive research on the statistics of extremes. Although the theoretical framework of extreme value statistics is well developed, meteorological applications are often limited by the relative shortness of the available datasets. In order to overcome this problem, we use archived data from… (More)
Societal changes demand education to apply new pedagogical approaches. Many educational stakeholders feel that serious games could play a key role in fulfilling this demand, and smack their chops when looking at the booming industry for leisure games. However, current toolkits for developing leisure games show severe shortcomings for the development of… (More)
Henk van den Brink KNMI The statistical distribution of meteorological outliers – p.1
Meteorological extremes have large impacts on society. The fact that approximately 40% of the Netherlands is below sea level makes this country especially vulnerable to flooding, both from the sea and from rivers. This has resulted in extensive research on the statistics of extremes. However, applications to meteorological and hydrological situations are… (More)
The distribution of outliers is used as a tool for finding the extreme value distribution of meteorological parameters and to provide return values for large return periods from short records. Its potential is demonstrated for five cases. For extreme winds in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) the method shows that appropriately transformed annual maximum wind… (More)
We use a very high resolution global climate model (~25 km grid size) with prescribed sea surface temperatures to show that greenhouse warming enhances the occurrence of hurricane-force (> 32.6 m s-1) storms over Western Europe during early autumn (Aug-Oct), the majority of which originate as a tropical cyclone. The rise in Atlantic tropical SSTs extends… (More)
De Nederlandse vertaling van het origineel Engelstalige Rapport " Exploring high-end climate change scenarios for flood protection of the Netherlands "