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Scenarios of Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Atmospheric Concentrations
This and a companion report constitute one of twenty-one Synthesis and Assessment Products called for in the Strategic Plan for the U.S. Climate Change Science Program. These studies are structured
The MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) Model: Version 4
The Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) model is the part of the MIT Integrated Global Systems Model (IGSM) that represents the human systems. EPPA is a recursive-dynamic multi-regional
Probabilistic forecast for twenty-first-century climate based on uncertainties in emissions (without policy) and climate parameters.
Abstract The Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) Integrated Global System Model is used to make probabilistic projections of climate change from 1861 to 2100. Since the model’s first
Transportation in a Climate-Constrained World
This book discusses the impact of transportation on climate change, and presents some measures that could be taken to mitigate the impact. The introduction mentions that all major transportation
The safety valve and climate policy
Abstract The “safety valve” is a possible addition to a cap-and-trade system of emissions regulation whereby the authority offers to sell permits in unlimited amount at a pre-set price. In this way
Integrated Global System Model for Climate Policy Assessment: Feedbacks and Sensitivity Studies
Alternative policies to address global climate change are being debated in many nations and within the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. To help provide objective and
The evolution of a climate regime: Kyoto to Marrakech
At meetings in Bonn and Marrakech in 2001, the Conference of the Parties to the Framework Convention on Climate Change broke through an impasse on the detailed provisions needed to allow the Kyoto
Multi-gas assessment of the Kyoto Protocol
The Kyoto Protocol allows reductions in emissions of several ‘greenhouse’ gases to be credited against a CO2-equivalent emissions limit, calculated using ‘global warming potential’ indices for each
MIT Integrated Global System Model (IGSM) Version 2: Model Description and Baseline Evaluation
This report documents Version 2 of the IGSM, which like the previous version, includes an economic model for analysis of greenhouse gas and aerosol precursor emissions and mitigation proposals, a coupled atmosphere-ocean-land surface model with interactive chemistry, and models of natural ecosystems.
Uncertainty and Climate Change Assessments
Clear and quantitative discussion of uncertainties is critical for public policy making on climate change. The recently completed report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change assessed the