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Seasonal transmission potential and activity peaks of the new influenza A(H1N1): a Monte Carlo likelihood analysis based on human mobility
BackgroundOn 11 June the World Health Organization officially raised the phase of pandemic alert (with regard to the new H1N1 influenza strain) to level 6. As of 19 July, 137,232 cases of the H1N1Expand
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Comparing large-scale computational approaches to epidemic modeling: Agent-based versus structured metapopulation models
We provide for the first time a side-by-side comparison of the results obtained with a stochastic agent-based model and a structured metapopulation Stochastic model for the progression of a baseline pandemic event in Italy, a large and geographically heterogeneous European country. Expand
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Modeling vaccination campaigns and the Fall/Winter 2009 activity of the new A(H1N1) influenza in the Northern Hemisphere
The unfolding of pandemic influenza A(H1N1) for Fall 2009 in the Northern Hemisphere is still uncertain. Plans for vaccination campaigns and vaccine trials are underway, with the first batchesExpand
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Estimate of Novel Influenza A/H1N1 cases in Mexico at the early stage of the pandemic with a spatially structured epidemic model
Determining the number of cases in an epidemic is fundamental to properly evaluate several disease features of high relevance for public health policies such as mortality, morbidity orExpand
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Modeling the critical care demand and antibiotics resources needed during the Fall 2009 wave of influenza A(H1N1) pandemic
While the H1N1 pandemic is reaching high levels of influenza activity in the Northern Hemisphere, the attention focuses on the ability of national health systems to respond to the expected massiveExpand
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Spatial Analysis of Maritime Accidents Using the Geographic Information System
Despite the tremendous efforts of maritime organizations to achieve a safe and secure maritime transportation system, the losses through maritime accidents and incidents are still increasing. ThisExpand
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Rede fi ning the MED 13 L syndrome
Abidemi Adegbola1,2,3, Luciana Musante4, Bert Callewaert5, Patricia Maciel6,7, Hao Hu4, Bertrand Isidor8,9, Sylvie Picker-Minh10,11, Cedric Le Caignec8,9, Barbara Delle Chiaie5, Olivier Vanakker5,Expand
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Application of Fuzzy Logic to Safety Risk Assessment of China's Maritime Passages
The maritime system has a high level of uncertainty, which makes it difficult to assess its safety. This paper proposes an improved formal safety assessment (FSA) method based on fuzzy logic andExpand
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Dynamic Fuzzy Logic Model for Risk Assessment of Marine Crude Oil Transportation
As a scarce strategic resource, crude oil is closely intertwined with national strategies, global policies, international relationships, and national competence. Unbalanced demand and production ofExpand
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