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Armed Conflict 1946-2001: A New Dataset
In the period 1946-2001, there were 225 armed conflicts and 34 of them were active in all of or part of 2001. Armed conflict remains a serious problem in the post-Cold War period. For three decades,Expand
PRIO-GRID: A unified spatial data structure
Contributions to the quantitative civil war literature increasingly rely on geo-referenced data and disaggregated research designs. While this is a welcome trend, it necessitates geographicExpand
Institutional Inconsistency and Political Instability: Polity Duration, 1800–2000
This article examines how political institutional structures affect political instability. It classifies polities as autocracies or democracies based on three institutional dimensions: election ofExpand
Development Consequences of Armed Conflict
This paper conducts the first analysis of the effect of armed conflict on progress in meeting the United Nation’s Millennium Development Goals. We also examine the effect of conflict on economicExpand
Predicting Armed Conflict, 2010–2050
The article predicts changes in global and regional incidences of armed conflict for the 2010–2050 period. The predictions are based on a dynamic multinomial logit model estimation on a 1970–2009Expand
Population Pressure, Horizontal Inequality and Political Violence: A Disaggregated Study of Indonesian Provinces, 1990–2003
Abstract All parts of a country are rarely equally affected by political violence. Yet statistical studies largely fail to address sub-national conflict dynamics. We address this gap studyingExpand
Power Sharing, Protection, and Peace
Power sharing is often purported to lead to civil peace, though its effects are disputed. We identify three types of power sharing—inclusive, dispersive, and constraining—and analyze their mechanismsExpand
Peace research – Just the study of war?
The concept of peace has been under discussion in peace research from its start over 50 years ago. This article reviews the debate on broader and narrower conceptions of peace and investigatesExpand
Why Is There So Much Conflict in the Middle East?
The Middle East is one of the most conflict-prone regions—butwhy? The Collier-Hoeffler model of civil war provides the starting point for our analysis. In an application to Africa, Collier andExpand