Erin Baggott Carter

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Does propaganda reduce the probability of popular protest in Africa’s contemporary autocracies? To answer this question, we draw on an original dataset of state-run newspapers from 21 African countries, encompassing two languages and roughly 600,000 articles. We find that propaganda diminishes the probability of protest, and that its effects persist over(More)
How do autocrats manipulate the beliefs of their citizens during political crises? We argue that they cultivate a reputation for neutrality so that, during moments of crisis, their proregime arguments have some measure of credibility. To test the argument, we employ a corpus of 24 state-affiliated newspapers from Africa and Asia. Using a(More)
Does nationalism make interstate conflict more likely? Many believe so, arguing that it led to such conflicts as the Spanish-American War, the two World Wars, and Russia’s recent intervention in the Ukraine. However, others contend that strategic constraints greatly limit nationalism’s effects on state behavior. Resolving this debate has proven difficult(More)
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