Elizabeth J. Menninga

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The multifaceted and strategic interactions inherent in the formation of international military pacts render the alliance decisions of states highly interdependent. Our aim here is to model the network of alliances in such a way as to capture the effects of covariates and account for the complex dependencies inherent in the network. Regression analysis, due(More)
Network science has spurred a reexamination of relational phenomena in political science, including the study of international conflict. We introduce a new direction to the study of conflict by showing that the multiplex fractionalization of the international system along three key dimensions is a powerful predictor of the propensity for violent interstate(More)
Despite random assignment, scenario-based survey experiments suffer from threats to internal validity that resemble confounding bias in observational studies. Manipulating specific features of a scenario generally changes subjects' beliefs about background features of the scenario, possibly confounding the effects of the beliefs of interest. Describing a(More)
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