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Guidelines for Use of Climate Scenarios Developed from Statistical Downscaling Methods
Many climate impact applications require the equivalent of point climate observations and are highly sensitive to fine-scale climate variations that are parameterised in coarse-scale models. This isExpand
The Atmospheric Circulation and Sea Surface Temperature in the North Atlantic Area in Winter: Their Interaction and Relevance for Iberian Precipitation
Abstract The ocean surface-atmosphere relationships in the North Atlantic area in northern winter are empirically examined by canonical correlation analysis (CCA). This analysis is performed from twoExpand
Detection of Human Influence on a New, Validated 1500-Year Temperature Reconstruction
Abstract Climate records over the last millennium place the twentieth-century warming in a longer historical context. Reconstructions of millennial temperatures show a wide range of variability,Expand
European climate response to tropical volcanic eruptions over the last half millennium
[1] We analyse the winter and summer climatic signal following 15 major tropical volcanic eruptions over the last half millennium based on multi-proxy reconstructions for Europe. During the first andExpand
Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia
Past global climate changes had strong regional expression. To elucidate their spatio-temporal pattern, we reconstructed past temperatures for seven continental-scale regions during the past one toExpand
Orbital forcing of tree-ring data
Based on an analysis of maximum latewood density data from northern Scandinavia, along with published dendrochronological records, this study finds evidence that previous tree-ring-reliantExpand
A Simple Model of the Decadal Response of the Ocean to Stochastic Wind Forcing
Abstract A simple linear model is used to estimate the decadal response of the extratropical ocean to wind stress forcing, assuming a flat bottom, a mean state at rest, and no dissipation. TheExpand
Downscaling of global climate change estimates to regional scales: an application to Iberian rainfal
Abstract A statistical strategy to deduct regional-scale features from climate general circulation model (GCM) simulations has been designed and tested. The main idea is to interrelate theExpand
Reconstructing Past Climate from Noisy Data
The centennial variability of the NH temperature is underestimated by the regression-based methods applied here, suggesting that past variations may have been at least a factor of 2 larger than indicated by empirical reconstructions. Expand
Reconstructing the Development of Baltic Sea Eutrophication 1850–2006
The simulation indicates that no improvement in water quality of the Baltic Sea compared to its present state can be expected from the decrease in nutrient loads in recent decades. Expand