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Using time-use data to parameterize models for the spread of close-contact infectious diseases.
- E. Zagheni, F. Billari, P. Manfredi, A. Melegaro, J. Mossong, W. Edmunds
- EconomicsAmerican journal of epidemiology
- 1 November 2008
The possibilities offered by time-use surveys to measure contact patterns and to explain observed seroprevalence profiles are discussed and models based on the estimated age-specific transmission parameters fit the observed patterns of infection of endemically circulating varicella in a satisfactory way.
Bayesian Forecasting of Cohort Fertility
There are signs that fertility in rich countries may have stopped declining, but this depends critically on whether women currently in reproductive ages are postponing or reducing lifetime fertility.…
Promises and Pitfalls of Using Digital Traces for Demographic Research
It is argued that researchers with formal training in demography—those who have a history of developing innovative approaches to using challenging data—are well positioned to contribute to this area of work.
What types of contacts are important for the spread of infections?: using contact survey data to explore European mixing patterns.
The impact of the HIV/AIDS epidemic on kinship resources for orphans in Zimbabwe.
- E. Zagheni
- Political SciencePopulation and development review
- 1 December 2011
The results indicate that a generalized HIV/AIDS epidemic has a prolonged impact on children and orphans that extends well beyond the peak in mortality and that the burden of double orphans is likely to shift to uncles and aunts.
Who Takes Care of Whom in the United States? Time Transfers by Age and Sex
A projected rise in demand, relative to supply, of informal care in the US is revealed, indicating that, to maintain current levels of care, US society will have to rely more heavily either on the market or on an increased effort of caregivers.
Demographic research with non-representative internet data
Although there is not a definite answer to the question of whether statistical inference can be made from non-representative samples, the authors show that, when certain assumptions are met, the author can extract signal from noisy and biased data.
A Flexible Bayesian Model for Estimating Subnational Mortality
A Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate mortality at the subnational level is presented, which builds on characteristic age patterns in mortality curves, which are constructed using principal components from a set of reference mortality curves.
Using Twitter Data to Estimate the Relationship between Short-term Mobility and Long-term Migration
The findings, expressed in terms of 'migration curves', document, for the first time, the relationships between short-term mobility and long-term migration.
A cost valuation model based on a stochastic representation of the IPAT equation
Within the framework of models for human-driven environmental impact based on the IPAT equation, we develop a model for the evolution of impact (expressed in terms of carbon dioxide emissions) and…