Global non-linear effect of temperature on economic production
Overall economic productivity is non-linear in temperature for all countries, with productivity peaking at an annual average temperature of 13 °C and declining strongly at higher temperatures, which provides the first evidence that economic activity in all regions is coupled to the global climate.
Economic Shocks and Civil Conflict: An Instrumental Variables Approach
- E. Miguel, S. Satyanath, E. Sergenti
- EconomicsJournal of Political Economy
- 8 July 2004
Estimating the impact of economic conditions on the likelihood of civil conflict is difficult because of endogeneity and omitted variable bias. We use rainfall variation as an instrumental variable…
War and local collective action in Sierra Leone
- John Bellows, E. Miguel
- Economics
- 1 December 2009
Promoting an open research culture
- Brian A. Nosek, G. Alter, T. Yarkoni
- MedicineScience
- 26 June 2015
Author guidelines for journals could help to promote transparency, openness, and reproducibility Transparency, openness, and reproducibility are readily recognized as vital features of science (1,…
Warming increases the risk of civil war in Africa
- M. Burke, E. Miguel, S. Satyanath, J. Dykema, D. Lobell
- Political ScienceProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- 8 December 2009
A first comprehensive examination of the potential impact of global climate change on armed conflict in sub-Saharan Africa finds strong historical linkages between civil war and temperature, with warmer years leading to significant increases in the likelihood of war.
The Value of Democracy: Evidence from Road Building in Kenya
- R. Burgess, R. Jedwab, E. Miguel, A. Morjaria, Gerard Padró i Miquel
- Economics
- 1 September 2013
Ethnic favoritism is seen as antithetical to development. This paper provides credible quantification of the extent of ethnic favoritism using data on road building in Kenyan districts across the…
Corruption, Norms, and Legal Enforcement: Evidence from Diplomatic Parking Tickets
- Raymond J. Fisman, E. Miguel
- Political ScienceJournal of Political Economy
- 1 December 2007
We study cultural norms and legal enforcement in controlling corruption by analyzing the parking behavior of United Nations officials in Manhattan. Until 2002, diplomatic immunity protected UN…
Can War Foster Cooperation?
- Michal Bauer, C. Blattman, Julie Chytilová, J. Henrich, E. Miguel, Tamar Mitts
- EconomicsSSRN Electronic Journal
- 1 June 2016
In the past decade, nearly 20 studies have found a strong, persistent pattern in surveys and behavioral experiments from over 40 countries: individual exposure to war violence tends to increase…
Quantifying the Influence of Climate on Human Conflict
There is more agreement across studies regarding the influence of climate on human conflict than has been recognized previously and warmer temperatures or extremes of rainfall can be causally associated with changes in interpersonal violence and in civil war.
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