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We report progress on new developments in the breakthrough paper indicator, which allows early selection of a small group of publications which may become potential breakthrough candidates based on dynamics of publication citations and certain qualitative characteristics of citations. We used a quantitative approach to identify typical citation patterns of(More)
Research funding organizations invest substantial resources to monitor mission-relevant research findings to identify and support promising new lines of inquiry. To that end, we have been pursuing the development of tools to identify research publications that have a strong likelihood of driving new avenues of research. This paper describes our work towards(More)
Breakthrough scientific discoveries are rare occurrences that have a huge impact on technological progress, however, the full potential of such breakthroughs are recognized retrospectively and on a time scale of decades. Thus, rapid detection and recognition of potential breakthroughs is a core goal of research management and science policy. Here we(More)
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