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We report progress on new developments in the breakthrough paper indicator, which allows early selection of a small group of publications which may become potential breakthrough candidates based on dynamics of publication citations and certain qualitative characteristics of citations. We used a quantitative approach to identify typical citation patterns of(More)
Breakthrough scientific discoveries are rare occurrences that have a huge impact on technological progress, however, the full potential of such breakthroughs are recognized retrospectively and on a time scale of decades. Thus, rapid detection and recognition of potential breakthroughs is a core goal of research management and science policy. Here we(More)
Research funding organizations invest substantial resources to monitor mission-relevant research findings to identify and support promising new lines of inquiry. To that end, we have been pursuing the development of tools to identify research publications that have a strong likelihood of driving new avenues of research. This paper describes our work towards(More)
Funders of biomedical research are often challenged to understand how a new funding initiative fits within the agency's portfolio and the larger research community. While traditional assessment relies on retrospective review by subject matter experts, it is now feasible to design portfolio assessment and gap analysis tools leveraging administrative and(More)
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