Dmitri Kuznetsov

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Global disease suitability models are essential tools to inform surveillance systems and enable early detection. We present the first global suitability model of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5N1 and demonstrate that reliable predictions can be obtained at global scale. Best predictions are obtained using spatial predictor variables describing(More)
The highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5N1 virus has been circulating in Asia since 2003 and diversified into several genetic lineages, or clades. Although the spatial distribution of its outbreaks was extensively studied, differences in clades were never previously taken into account. We developed models to quantify associations over time and space(More)
57 Climate change is one of the most widely discussed subjects in science and society today. Among different studies of climate variability, palaeoreconstructions are of a special importance, because they allow clii matic changes to be traced over long periods of time. Natural " archives " (lake sediments, soils, ice, etc.) still remain a valuable source of(More)
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