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This paper considers a stochastic SIR (susceptible→infective→removed) epidemic model in which individuals may make infectious contacts in two ways, both within 'households' (which for ease of exposition are assumed to have equal size) and along the edges of a random graph describing additional social contacts. Heuristically-motivated branching process… (More)

- David Sirl
- 2004

Quasistationary Distributions for Continuous-Time Markov Chains – p.1

A random network model which allows for tunable, quite general forms of clustering, degree correlation and degree distribution is defined. The model is an extension of the configuration model, in which stubs (half-edges) are paired to form a network. Clustering is obtained by forming small completely connected subgroups, and positive (negative) degree… (More)

- Frank Ball, David Sirl
- 2016

This paper is concerned with the analysis of vaccination strategies in a stochas-tic SIR (susceptible → infected → removed) model for the spread of an epidemic amongst a population of individuals with a random network of social contacts that is also partitioned into households. Under various vaccine action models, we consider both household-based… (More)

This paper is concerned with SIR (susceptible → infected → removed) household epidemic models in which the infection response may be either mild or severe, with the type of response also affecting the infectiousness of an individual. Two different models are analysed. In the first model, the infection status of an individual is predetermined, perhaps due to… (More)

- Frank Ball, Tom Britton, David Sirl, F G Ball, T Britton, D J Sirl
- 2010

This paper is concerned with SIR (susceptible-infected-removed) household epidemic models in which the infection response may be either mild or severe, with the type of response also affecting the infectiousness of an individual. Two different models are analysed. In the first model, the infection status of an individual is predetermined, perhaps due to… (More)

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