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We examine the climate response to solar irradiance changes between the late 17th-century Maunder Minimum and the late 18th century. Global average temperature changes are small (about 0.3 degrees to 0.4 degrees C) in both a climate model and empirical reconstructions. However, regional temperature changes are quite large. In the model, these occur(More)
24. This model of robust australopithecine craniofacial morphogenesis predicts that the palatal component of the anterior nasal floor in A. africanus will display evidence of extensive resorption throughout growth. In the robust australopithecines, this same region should demonstrate reduced resorption later in cra-nial ontogeny. The predictions of this(More)
The global temperature rose by 0.2 degrees C between the middle 1960's and 1980, yielding a warming of 0.4 degrees C in the past century. This temperature increase is consistent with the calculated greenhouse effect due to measured increases of atmospheric carbon dioxide. Variations of volcanic aerosols and possibly solar luminosity appear to be primary(More)
We use a three-dimensional climate model, the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) model II with 8 ø by 10 ø horizontal resolution, to simulate the global climate effects of time-dependent variations of atmospheric trace gases and aerosols. Horizontal heat transport by the ocean is fixed at values estimated for today's climate, and the uptake of heat(More)
Recent model calculations of the global mean radiative forcing from tropospheric ozone since preindustrial times fall in a relatively narrow range, from 0.3 to 0.5 W m ,2. These calculations use preindustrial ozone elds that overestimate observations available from the turn of the nineteenth century. Although there may be calibration problems with the(More)
  • D Rind, J Lerner, J Jonas, C Mclinden
  • 2007
[1] We explore the dependency of general circulation model tracer transports on model physics and horizontal and vertical resolution. We use NASA Goddard Institute for Space 222 Rn, bomb 14 C, and O 3. Model experiments are done two ways: with specified stratospheric ozone or with the stratospheric ozone tracer used for atmospheric radiation calculations.(More)
[1] We investigate the effects on U.S. ozone air quality from 2000–2050 global changes in climate and anthropogenic emissions of ozone precursors by using a global chemical transport model (GEOS-Chem) driven by meteorological fields from the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies general circulation model (NASA/GISS GCM). We follow the Intergovernmental(More)
  • J Hansen, M Sato, R Ruedy, P Kharecha, A Lacis, R Miller +41 others
  • 2007
We investigate the issue of " dangerous human-made interference with climate " using simulations with GISS modelE driven by measured or estimated forcings for 1880– 2003 and extended to 2100 for IPCC greenhouse gas scenarios as well as the " alternative " scenario of Hansen and Sato (2004). Identification of " dangerous " effects is partly subjective , but(More)
The factors that determine climate response times were investigated with simple models and scaling statements. The response times are particularly sensitive to (i) the amount that the climate response is amplified by feedbacks and (ii) the representation of ocean mixing. If equilibrium climate sensitivity is 3 degrees C or greater for a doubling of the(More)
Large, abrupt shifts in the (l8)O/(16)O ratio found in Greenland ice must reflect real features of the climate system variability. These isotopic shifts can be viewed as a result of air temperature fluctuations, but determination of the cause of the changes-the most crucial issue for future climate concerns-requires a detailed understanding of the controls(More)