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Quantification of modelling uncertainties in a large ensemble of climate change simulations
- J. Murphy, D. Sexton, D. Stainforth
- Environmental ScienceNature
- 12 August 2004
TLDR
Uncertainty in predictions of the climate response to rising levels of greenhouse gases
- D. Stainforth, T. Aina, M. Allen
- Environmental ScienceNature
- 27 January 2005
TLDR
Anthropogenic climate change for 1860 to 2100 simulated with the HadCM3 model under updated emissions scenarios
- T. Johns, J. Gregory, M. Woodage
- Environmental Science
- 18 February 2003
Abstract.
In this study we examine the anthropogenically forced climate response over the historical period, 1860 to present, and projected response to 2100, using updated emissions scenarios and an…
UK Climate Projections Briefing Report
This report provides a summary of the 2009 UK Climate Projections (UKCP09), consolidating for the general reader the scientific reports describing the methodology and some key projections of future…
Towards quantifying uncertainty in transient climate change
Ensembles of coupled atmosphere–ocean global circulation model simulations are required to make probabilistic predictions of future climate change. “Perturbed physics” ensembles provide a new…
Global temperature change and its uncertainties since 1861
- C. Folland, N. Rayner, D. Sexton
- Environmental Science
- 1 July 2001
We present the first analysis of global and hemispheric surface warming trends that attempts to quantify the major sources of uncertainty. We calculate global and hemispheric annual temperature…
The new hadley centre climate model (HadGEM1) : Evaluation of coupled simulations
Abstract A new coupled general circulation climate model developed at the Met Office's Hadley Centre is presented, and aspects of its performance in climate simulations run for the Intergovernmental…
Projected increase in continental runoff due to plant responses to increasing carbon dioxide
- R. Betts, O. Boucher, M. Webb
- Environmental ScienceNature
- 30 August 2007
TLDR
Mechanisms for the land/sea warming contrast exhibited by simulations of climate change
- M. Joshi, J. Gregory, M. Webb, D. Sexton, T. Johns
- Environmental Science
- 1 April 2008
The land/sea warming contrast is a phenomenon of both equilibrium and transient simulations of climate change: large areas of the land surface at most latitudes undergo temperature changes whose…
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