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Importance of small earthquakes for stress transfers and earthquake triggering
[1] We estimate the relative importance of small and large earthquakes for static stress changes and for earthquake triggering, assuming that earthquakes are triggered by static stress changes andExpand
Interpretation of Inaccurate, Insufficient and Inconsistent Data
Sumntary Many problems in physical science involve the estimation of a number of unknown parameters which bear a linear or quasi-linear relationship to a set of experimental data. The data may beExpand
Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 3 (UCERF3)—The Time‐Independent Model
The 2014 Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP14) present the time‐independent component of the Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 3 (UCERF3), whichExpand
Comparison of Short-Term and Time-Independent Earthquake Forecast Models for Southern California
We have initially developed a time-independent forecast for southern California by smoothing the locations of magnitude 2 and larger earthquakes. We show that using small m 2 earthquakes gives aExpand
Crustal deformation across and beyond the Los Angeles basin from geodetic measurements
We combine 6 years of Global Positioning System (GPS) data with 20 years of trilateration data and a century of triangulation, taped distance, and astronomic azimuth measurements to derive 66Expand
Earthquake Likelihood Model Testing
The Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models (RELM) project aims to produce and evaluate alternate models of earthquake potential (probability per unit volume, magnitude, and time) for California. BasedExpand
Tohoku earthquake: a surprise?
Abstract We consider three questions related to the 2011 Tohoku mega‐earthquake: (1) Why was the event size so grossly underestimated by Japan’s national hazard map? (2) How should we evaluate theExpand
Crustal deformation along the Altyn Tagh Fault system
We collected GPS data from the southern Tarim basin, the Qaidam basin, and the western Kunlun Shan region between 1993 and 1998 to determine crustal deformation along the Altyn Tagh fault system atExpand
Long-term earthquake clustering
SUMMARY We analyse statistically the long-term properties of several instrumental earthquake catalogues. Complete catalogues exhibit both short- and long-term clustering for earthquakes of all depthExpand
High-resolution Time-independent Grid-based Forecast for M ≥ 5 Earthquakes in California
We have developed time-independent forecasts for California assuming that small earthquakes can be used to map the distribution of large damaging earthquakes, as suggested by Kafka and Levin (2000).Expand