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Suppression of a SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in the Italian municipality of Vo’
On 21 February 2020, a resident of the municipality of Vo’, a small town near Padua (Italy), died of pneumonia due to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection 1 . ThisExpand
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The impact of COVID-19 and strategies for mitigation and suppression in low- and middle-income countries
Global prospects for COVID-19 control Lower-income countries have recognized the potential impact of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) from observing ongoing epidemics. Many have intervened quicklyExpand
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Potential impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria in low-income and middle-income countries: a modelling study
Summary Background COVID-19 has the potential to cause substantial disruptions to health services, due to cases overburdening theExpand
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Response to COVID-19 in South Korea and implications for lifting stringent interventions
Background After experiencing a sharp growth in COVID-19 cases early in the pandemic, South Korea rapidly controlled transmission while implementing less stringent national social distancing measuresExpand
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Report 33: Modelling the allocation and impact of a COVID-19 vaccine
Several SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidates are now in late-stage trials, with efficacy and safety results expected by the end of 2020. Even under optimistic scenarios for manufacture and delivery, theExpand
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Differential mobility and local variation in infection attack rate
TLDR
Infectious disease transmission is an inherently spatial process in which a host's home location and their social mixing patterns are important, with the mixing of infectious individuals often different to that of susceptible individuals. Expand
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SARS-CoV-2 infection prevalence on repatriation flights from Wuhan City, China
We estimated SARS-CoV-2 infection prevalence in cohorts of repatriated citizens from Wuhan to be 0.44% (95% CI: 0.19%-1.03%). Although not representative of the wider population we believe theseExpand
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A dynamical systems model of unorganized segregation
TLDR
We consider Schelling’s bounded neighborhood model of unorganized segregation, from the perspective of modern dynamical systems theory. Expand
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