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Dominance analysis: A new approach to the problem of relative importance of predictors in multiple regression.
- D. Budescu
- 1 November 1993
Whenever multiple regression is used to test and compare theoretically motivated models, it is of interest to determine the relative importance of the predictors. Specifically, researchers seek to…
The dominance analysis approach for comparing predictors in multiple regression.
The bootstrap is used to assess the stability of dominance results across repeated sampling, and it is shown that these methods provide the researcher with more insights into the pattern of importance in a set of predictors than were previously available.
Simultaneous Over- and Underconfidence: The Role of Error in Judgment Processes.
Improving Communication of Uncertainty in the Reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
An experiment suggests that the method used by the IPCC is likely to convey levels of imprecision that are too high, and proposes an alternative form of communicating uncertainty, its effectiveness, and suggest several additional ways to improve the communication of uncertainty.
Randomization in individual choice behavior.
Generation of random series in two-person strictly competitive games
Experimental results are reported showing that people can generate binary sequences that satisfy standard tests of randomness more successfully when they participate in 2-person strictly competitive games inducing them to conceal their choices and protect themselves from their own frailty to maximize gain.
Measures of similarity among fuzzy concepts: A comparative analysis
Measuring the Vague Meanings of Probability Terms
Can the vague meanings of probability terms such as doubtful probable or likely be expressed as membership functions over the [0 1] probability interval? A function for a given term would assign a…
Identifying Expertise to Extract the Wisdom of Crowds
A new measure of contribution is proposed to assess the judges' performance relative to the group and positive contributors are used to build a weighting model for aggregating forecasts, showing that the model derives its power from identifying experts who consistently outperform the crowd.
Comparing the calibration and coherence of numerical and verbal probability judgments
Despite the common reliance on numerical probability estimates in decision research and decision analysis, there is considerable interest in the use of verbal probability expressions to communicate…