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Projecting hospital utilization during the COVID-19 outbreaks in the United States
TLDR
It is highlighted that the growing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak in the United States could gravely challenge the critical care capacity, thereby exacerbating case fatality rates, and policies that encourage self-isolation may delay the epidemic peak, giving a window of time that could facilitate emergency mobilization to expand hospital capacity.
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Impact of international travel and border control measures on the global spread of the novel 2019 coronavirus outbreak
TLDR
The results show that these measures likely slowed the rate of exportation from mainland China to other countries, but are insufficient to contain the global spread of COVID-19, and suggest that rapid contact tracing is essential both within the epicenter and at importation sites to limit human-to-human transmission outside of mainland China.
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Projecting the demand for ventilators at the peak of the COVID-19 outbreak in the USA
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The impact of vaccination on COVID-19 outbreaks in the United States
TLDR
The results indicate that vaccination can have a substantial impact on reducing disease transmission and adverse clinical outcomes, however, with uptake of 40% or less in the population, vaccination is unlikely to completely eliminate the need for non-pharmaceutical interventions.
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The impact of personal experiences with infection and vaccination on behaviour-incidence dynamics of seasonal influenza.
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COVID-19 on the African continent
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Impact of Imitation Processes on the Effectiveness of Ring Vaccination
TLDR
It is found that including imitation changes the probability of containment through ring vaccination considerably, and risk communication efforts should be initiated early in an outbreak when ring vaccination is to be applied, especially among subpopulations that are heavily influenced by peer opinions.
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Projecting demand for critical care beds during COVID-19 outbreaks in Canada
TLDR
The results show the coming challenge for the health care system in Canada and the potential role of self-isolation in reducing demand for hospital-based and ICU care.
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The Impact of Vaccination on Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Outbreaks in the United States
TLDR
It is shown that vaccination can have a substantial impact on mitigating COVID-19 outbreaks, even with limited protection against infection, and continued compliance with nonpharmaceutical interventions is essential to achieve this impact.
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Optimal COVID-19 quarantine and testing strategies
TLDR
It is demonstrated that testing on exit from quarantine is more effective than testing on entry, and can enable quarantine to be reduced from fourteen to seven days, which could lessen the economic impacts of the pandemic.
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