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Assessing uncertainties in climate change impact analyses on the river flow regimes in the UK. Part 2: future climate
The first part of this paper demonstrated the existence of bias in GCM-derived precipitation series, downscaled using either a statistical technique (here the Statistical Downscaling Model) orExpand
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Scenario-neutral approach to climate change impact studies: Application to flood risk
This paper presents a novel framework for undertaking climate change impact studies, which can be used for testing the robustness of precautionary climate change allowances used in engineeringExpand
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  • Open Access
SW—Soil and Water: Climate Change and Water Resources Management in Arid and Semi-arid Regions: Prospective and Challenges for the 21st Century
Abstract The overgrowing population and the recent droughts are putting water resources under pressure and calling for new approaches for water planning and management if escalating conflicts are toExpand
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Uncertainty and climate change impact on the flood regime of small UK catchments
A rigorous methodology is described for quantifying some of the uncertainties of climate change impact studies, excluding those due to downscaling techniques, and applied on a set of five catchmentsExpand
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Modelling the effects of climate change and its uncertainty on UK Chalk groundwater resources from an ensemble of global climate model projections
Projections of climate for the 2080s from an ensemble of global climate models (GCMs) run under a medium–high (A2) emissions scenario are used to simulate changes in groundwater resources of a ChalkExpand
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Hydrological droughts in the 21st century, hotspots and uncertainties from a global multimodel ensemble experiment
Significance Increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere are widely expected to influence global climate over the coming century. The impact on drought is uncertain because of theExpand
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  • Open Access
Future Flows Climate: an ensemble of 1-km climate change projections for hydrological application in Great Britain
Abstract. The dataset Future Flows Climate was developed as part of the project ''Future Flows and Groundwater Levels'' to provide a consistent set of climate change projections for the whole ofExpand
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  • Open Access
Bias correction of daily precipitation simulated by a regional climate model: a comparison of methods
Quantifying the effects of future changes in the frequency of precipitation extremes is a key challenge in assessing the vulnerability of hydrological systems to climate change but is difficult asExpand
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  • Open Access
Downscaling of global climate models for flood frequency analysis: where are we now?
The issues of downscaling the results from global climate models (GCMs) to a scale relevant for hydrological impact studies are examined. GCM outputs, typically at a spatial resolution of around 3°Expand
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  • Open Access
Health Effects of Drought: a Systematic Review of the Evidence
Introduction. Climate change projections indicate that droughts will become more intense in the 21 century in some areas of the world. The El Niño Southern Oscillation is associated with drought inExpand
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  • Open Access