• Publications
  • Influence
Partitioning and mapping uncertainties in ensembles of forecasts of species turnover under climate change
Forecasts of species range shifts under climate change are fraught with uncertainties and ensemble forecasting may provide a framework to deal with such uncertainties. Here, a novel approach toExpand
Rethinking species' ability to cope with rapid climate change
Ongoing climate change is assumed to be exceptional because of its unprecedented velocity. However, new geophysical research suggests that dramatic climatic changes during the Late PleistoceneExpand
Assessing the impacts of 1.5 °C global warming - simulation protocol of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2b)
In Paris, France, December 2015, the Conference of the Parties (COP) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) invited the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate change (IPCC) to provide a "special report in 2018 on the impacts of global warming of 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways". Expand
Global variation in thermal tolerances and vulnerability of endotherms to climate change
The relationships among species' physiological capacities and the geographical variation of ambient climate are of key importance to understanding the distribution of life on the Earth. Furthermore,Expand
Additive threats from pathogens, climate and land-use change for global amphibian diversity
Amphibian population declines far exceed those of other vertebrate groups, with 30% of all species listed as threatened by the International Union for Conservation of Nature. The causes of theseExpand
Latitudinal variation of diversity in European freshwater animals is not concordant across habitat types
Aim  We analysed the variation of species richness in the European freshwater fauna across latitude. In particular, we compared latitudinal patterns in species richness and β-diversity among speciesExpand
Phylogenetic signals in the climatic niches of the world's amphibians
The question of whether closely related species share similar ecological requirements has attracted increasing attention, because of its importance for understanding global diversity gradients andExpand
What ' s on the horizon for macroecology?
Over the last two decades, macroecology – the analysis of large-scale, multi-species ecological patterns and processes – has established itself as a major line of biological research. Analyses ofExpand
PAPER Recent range shifts of European dragonflies provide support for an inverse relationship between habitat predictability and dispersal
Aim We compared the effects of recent shifts of northern range boundaries of odonates adapted to either lentic (standing water) or lotic (running water) habitats in Europe. Lentic species are thoughtExpand
Moving in the Anthropocene: Global reductions in terrestrial mammalian movements
Restrictions on roaming Until the past century or so, the movement of wild animals was relatively unrestricted, and their travels contributed substantially to ecological processes. As humans haveExpand