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Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model-based analysis
Summary Background In the face of rapidly changing data, a range of case fatality ratio estimates for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) have been produced that differ substantially in… Expand
Pandemic Potential of a Strain of Influenza A (H1N1): Early Findings
Swine Flu Benchmark The World Health Organization (WHO) announced on 29 April 2009, a level-5 pandemic alert for a strain of H1N1 influenza originating in pigs in Mexico and transmitting from human… Expand
Transmission Dynamics of the Etiological Agent of SARS in Hong Kong: Impact of Public Health Interventions
We present an analysis of the first 10 weeks of the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) epidemic in Hong Kong. The epidemic to date has been characterized by two large clusters—initiated by two… Expand
The Foot-and-Mouth Epidemic in Great Britain: Pattern of Spread and Impact of Interventions
We present an analysis of the current foot-and-mouth disease epidemic in Great Britain over the first 2 months of the spread of the virus. The net transmission potential of the pathogen and the… Expand
Insect population control using a dominant, repressible, lethal genetic system.
A major modification to the sterile insect technique is described, in which transgenic insects homozygous for a dominant, repressible, female-specific lethal gene system are used. We demonstrate two… Expand
Epidemiological determinants of spread of causal agent of severe acute respiratory syndrome in Hong Kong
Summary Background Health authorities worldwide, especially in the Asia Pacific region, are seeking effective public-health… Expand
Household transmission of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus in the United States.
- S. Cauchemez, C. Donnelly, +5 authors N. Ferguson
- The New England journal of medicine
- 31 December 2009
BACKGROUND As of June 11, 2009, a total of 17,855 probable or confirmed cases of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) had been reported in the United States. Risk factors for transmission remain largely… Expand
Late-acting dominant lethal genetic systems and mosquito control
BackgroundReduction or elimination of vector populations will tend to reduce or eliminate transmission of vector-borne diseases. One potential method for environmentally-friendly, species-specific… Expand
Ebola virus disease in West Africa--the first 9 months of the epidemic and forward projections.
BACKGROUND On March 23, 2014, the World Health Organization (WHO) was notified of an outbreak of Ebola virus disease (EVD) in Guinea. On August 8, the WHO declared the epidemic to be a "public health… Expand
Transmission intensity and impact of control policies on the foot and mouth epidemic in Great Britain
The foot and mouth disease (FMD) epidemic in British livestock remains an ongoing cause for concern, with new cases still arising in previously unaffected areas. Epidemiological analyses have been… Expand