• Publications
  • Influence
Suitability of European climate for the Asian tiger mosquito Aedes albopictus: recent trends and future scenarios
The results show that southern France, northern Italy, the northern coast of Spain, the eastern coast of the Adriatic Sea and western Turkey were climatically suitable areas for the establishment of the mosquito during the 1960–1980s and similar trends are likely in the future.
Impact of climate change on global malaria distribution
The results indicate that future climate might become more suitable for malaria transmission in the tropical highland regions, but other important socioeconomic factors such as land use change, population growth and urbanization, migration changes and economic development will have to be accounted for in further details for future risk assessments.
Modelling the effects of past and future climate on the risk of bluetongue emergence in Europe
It is demonstrated that a climate-driven model explains, in both space and time, many aspects of BT's recent emergence and spread, including the 2006 BT outbreak in northwest Europe which occurred in the year of highest projected risk since at least 1960.
The Spatial Heterogeneity between Japanese Encephalitis Incidence Distribution and Environmental Variables in Nepal
The spatial pattern of JE cases during the 2005 epidemic in Nepal was significantly associated with low precipitation and the percentage of irrigated land and a unimodal non-significant relationship between JE Incidence and pig-to-human ratio.
Twentieth century Sahel rainfall variability as simulated by the ARPEGE AGCM, and future changes
The ability of the ARPEGE AGCM in reproducing the twentieth century Sahelian drought when only forced by observed SST time evolution has been characterized. Atmospheric internal variability is shown
Global risk model for vector-borne transmission of Zika virus reveals the role of El Niño 2015
This study quantifies the impact of climate variability on Zika virus (ZIKV) transmission by two mosquito vectors with distinct characteristics: Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus and finds that the transmission risk in South America in 2015 was the highest since 1950.
Dengue burden in India: recent trends and importance of climatic parameters
It is suggested that temperature is important in virus development in different climatic regions and may be useful in understanding spatio-temporal variations in dengue risk, and climate-based disease forecasting models in India should be refined and tailored for different Climatic zones.
Modelling recent and future climatic suitability for fasciolosis in Europe.
A climate-driven disease model used to assess the impact of recent and potential future climate changes on the incidence of fasciolosis and to estimate the related uncertainties at the scale of the European landmass showed that recent trends are likely to continue with the estimated pattern of climate change for northern Europe, possibly extending the season suitable for development of the parasite in the environment by up to four months.
Recent and projected future climatic suitability of North America for the Asian tiger mosquito Aedes albopictus
BackgroundSince the 1980s, populations of the Asian tiger mosquito Aedes albopictus have become established in south-eastern, eastern and central United States, extending to approximately 40°N. Ae.
A Non-Stationary Relationship between Global Climate Phenomena and Human Plague Incidence in Madagascar
It is demonstrated that ENSO and IOD influence temperature in Madagascar and that temperature and plague cycles are associated, and the effects on plague appear to be mediated more by temperature, but precipitation also undoubtedly influences plague in Madagascar.